Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

$89.5K Vol
Sep 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Two Move 100.0%
Zero Tenacity 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $89.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $70.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,950%), Ends in Daytime (5,000%), and Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Barracks are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$70.2K9995¢-9895¢
2Match Winner9995.0%$7.3K9995¢-9895¢
3Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)9995.0%$7219995¢-9895¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
5Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Ends in Daytime50.0%50¢50¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%50¢50¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
13Any Player Rampage50.0%50¢50¢
14O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$25695¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinals match between Two Move and Zero Tenacity in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Two Move" if Two Move win the match against Zero Tenacity.

This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win the match against Two Move.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 21, 2026

  • 11:13 AM
    KIKiyotakaya
    $160.81

    Bought 292.39 Zero Tenacity for Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) at 0.55

  • 11:12 AM
    KIKiyotakaya
    $37.80

    Bought 70 Zero Tenacity for Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) at 0.54

  • 10:53 AM
    JZjzr09
    $7.00

    Bought 9.459457 Two Move for Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.74

  • 10:38 AM
    0X0xe315130229DcF148e87555a6722BAF8770Dd3911-1769357511469
    $3.67

    Bought 4.959457 Two Move for Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.74

  • 09:58 AM
    POpositiveve
    $9.86

    Bought 13.51 Two Move for Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.73

  • 09:58 AM
    HAhardbadger
    $1.33

    Bought 1.821918 Two Move for Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.73

  • 09:58 AM
    HEheisenbucks
    $1.00

    Bought 1.35135 Two Move for Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.74

  • 09:58 AM
    0X0x2D1EeB1c3E188728D343635065bB9Eeee9588213-1759575731135
    $3.70

    Bought 5.068492 Two Move for Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.73

  • 09:58 AM
    0X0xAD26882380F6e45026Bc43620bFb01A701C46838-1782831185719
    $2.00

    Bought 2.739725 Two Move for Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.73

  • 09:58 AM
    0X0xE1d3E9a9A5f95c537B44fdD44F2c461f9E69b8De-1773463215618
    $99.19

    Bought 137.76 Two Move for Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.72

  • 09:58 AM
    ONonseason
    $2.00

    Bought 2.739725 Two Move for Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.73

  • 07:10 AM
    MImit120
    $2.00

    Bought 2.7 Two Move for Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.74

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GB1
gbby123
Event PnL
-$29.19
Volume
$1,722.82
Positions
Zero Tenacity
FO2
forsenxd
Event PnL
+$7.87
Volume
$404.21
Positions
Two Move
ZA3
ZAVOZER
Event PnL
+$7.83
Volume
$313.00
Positions
Two Move
KY4
kypm
Event PnL
+$7.55
Volume
$302.00
Positions
Two Move
DA5
0xda68…6710
Event PnL
-$1.39
Volume
$277.40
Positions
Two Move
NA6
naive-child
Event PnL
+$4.86
Volume
$194.30
Positions
Two Move
RA7
RaiJhin
Event PnL
-$3.76
Volume
$191.16
Positions
Two Move
E18
0xE1d3…5618
Event PnL
+$0.69
Volume
$137.76
Positions
Two Move

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Two Move vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $89.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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