Dota 2: The Warriors vs Shadow Dance (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$279.7K Vol
Oct 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Shadow Dance 60.0%
The Warriors 40.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: The Warriors vs Shadow Dance (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 2.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 9,100%, while Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? sits in third with 9,100%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $279.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $385 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? maintains a 9,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,100¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? (9,100%): Sitting in third place with a 9,100% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,100%), First Blood in Game 2? (9,000%), and Ends in Daytime (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Beat Roshan are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$3859995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?9100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9100.0%$109100¢-9000¢
5First Blood in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
6Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Match Winner3600.0%$22.7K3600¢-3500¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks950.0%—950¢-850¢
14Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
15Any Player Rampage950.0%—950¢-850¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?950.0%$10950¢-850¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?940.0%$10940¢-840¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?940.0%$10940¢-840¢
19Ends in Daytime900.0%—900¢-800¢
20Game 2 Winner5.0%$191.4K5¢95¢
21Game Handicap: The Warriors (-1.5) vs Shadow Dance (+1.5)5.0%$2775¢95¢
22First Blood in Game 1?5.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Round 1 match between The Warriors and Shadow Dance in the DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "The Warriors" if The Warriors win the match against Shadow Dance.

This market will resolve to "Shadow Dance" if Shadow Dance win the match against The Warriors.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 14, 2026

  • 02:03 AM
    CRcryptoqan0n
    $3.45

    Bought 4.92857 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.7

  • 02:03 AM
    SISimon971
    $1.00

    Bought 1.42857 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.7

  • 02:02 AM
    IWiWasEnough
    $3.45

    Bought 5 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.69

  • 02:02 AM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $3.45

    Bought 5 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.69

  • 01:26 AM
    0X0xb0c5722fd8765dbCd3C24AF1514c77cd9957AA5b-1782326516036
    $30.04

    Bought 85.826286 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.35

  • 01:10 AM
    OGoGsPale
    $1.00

    Bought 3.030304 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.33

  • 01:10 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $1.06

    Bought 5.05 Shadow Dance for Dota 2: The Warriors vs Shadow Dance - Game 1 Winner at 0.21

Oct 13, 2026

  • 10:15 PM
    ——
    $21.36

    Bought 24 The Warriors for Dota 2: The Warriors vs Shadow Dance (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.89

  • 09:00 PM
    FOforgedinlol
    $0.75

    Bought 5 Shadow Dance for Dota 2: The Warriors vs Shadow Dance (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.15

  • 09:00 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.12359 The Warriors for Dota 2: The Warriors vs Shadow Dance (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.89

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

LO1
loldot
Event PnL
-$18.71
Volume
$425.21
Positions
The WarriorsUnder
FO2
forsenxd
Event PnL
+$1.79
Volume
$188.23
Positions
The WarriorsShadow Dance
B03
0xb0c5…6036
Event PnL
+$5.05
Volume
$185.36
Positions
Shadow DanceOver
JE4
JeekBrain
Event PnL
+$9.66
Volume
$148.69
Positions
Shadow Dance
AN5
antec
Event PnL
+$2.04
Volume
$134.26
Positions
Shadow DanceShadow DanceShadow Dance
A56
a5533
Event PnL
+$0.28
Volume
$114.48
Positions
OverShadow Dance
PH7
phenompoker
Event PnL
-$1.44
Volume
$71.80
Positions
Under
AP8
Apuuuh
Event PnL
+$3.54
Volume
$68.64
Positions
OverShadow DanceShadow Dance

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: The Warriors vs Shadow Dance (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? at 9,100% and Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? at 9,100%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $279.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started