Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs uralan (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

$139.9K Vol
Sep 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Spirit Academy 81.5%
uralan 18.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs uralan (BO3) - European Pro League Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Match Winner sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $139.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $35.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Match Winner (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs uralan (+1.5) (9,995%), Ends in Daytime (9,950%), and Ends in Daytime (9,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Beat Roshan are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$35.7K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$89.7K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner9995.0%$14.5K9995¢-9895¢
4Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs uralan (+1.5)9995.0%$269995¢-9895¢
5Ends in Daytime9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
6Ends in Daytime9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
7Both Teams Beat Roshan9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
8Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%$455000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Beat Roshan950.0%950¢-850¢
14Both Teams Destroy Barracks950.0%950¢-850¢
15Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%$45950¢-850¢
16Any Player Rampage950.0%950¢-850¢
17Any Player Ultra Kill945.0%$45945¢-845¢
18Any Player Rampage945.0%945¢-845¢
19Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%50¢50¢
20O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$2895¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Spirit Academy and uralan in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win the match against uralan.

This market will resolve to "uralan" if uralan win the match against Spirit Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

621
0x62e8…88a1
Event PnL
-$0.57
Volume
$20.01
Positions
uralanSpirit Academy
LA2
LadyMorlex
Event PnL
+$0.26
Volume
$8.61
Positions
Spirit Academy
NI3
nicolitoso
Event PnL
+$0.16
Volume
$6.30
Positions
uralan
RA4
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
+$0.15
Volume
$5.10
Positions
Spirit Academy

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs uralan (BO3) - European Pro League Group B"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 9,995% and Match Winner at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $139.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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