Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

$189.8K Vol
Nov 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yellow Submarine 87.0%
PlayTime 12.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Ends in Daytime is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? follows in second place at 9,995%, while Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) sits in third with 6,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $189.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Ends in Daytime (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Ends in Daytime is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) (6,450%): Sitting in third place with a 6,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (5,000%), Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Ultra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Ends in Daytime9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)6450.0%$4886450¢-6350¢
4Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Game 2 Winner3550.0%$5.6K3550¢-3450¢
16O/U 2.5 Games3550.0%$923550¢-3450¢
17Match Winner1750.0%$23.7K1750¢-1650¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?950.0%—950¢-850¢
19Game 1 Winner5.0%$226.5K5¢95¢
20Both Teams Beat Roshan5.0%—5¢95¢
21Both Teams Destroy Barracks5.0%—5¢95¢
22Any Player Ultra Kill5.0%—5¢95¢
23Any Player Rampage5.0%—5¢95¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?5.0%—5¢95¢
25Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)5.0%—5¢95¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?5.0%—5¢95¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?5.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PlayTime and Yellow Submarine in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against Yellow Submarine.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against PlayTime.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 11, 2026

  • 06:49 AM
    LAlakiboi
    $2.35

    Bought 5.106383 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner at 0.46

  • 06:43 AM
    TRTROLETA777
    $31.84

    Bought 69.218086 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner at 0.46

  • 01:48 AM
    KAKatapo
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333332 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.6

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SI1
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$11.00
Volume
$2,199.99
Positions
PlayTime
BI2
biying88888
Event PnL
-$10.55
Volume
$2,176.00
Positions
Yellow Submarine
HA3
HawkSpirit
Event PnL
-$0.61
Volume
$278.31
Positions
PlayTimePlayTimePlayTime
MA4
massaqaraqa
Event PnL
+$0.92
Volume
$184.00
Positions
PlayTime
OG5
oGsPale
Event PnL
-$0.21
Volume
$131.89
Positions
Yellow SubmarineYellow SubmarineYellow Submarine
C86
0xc8D9…5742
Event PnL
-$0.50
Volume
$100.00
Positions
Yellow Submarine
KU7
Kuntro2
Event PnL
-$0.50
Volume
$100.00
Positions
PlayTime
TR8
TROLETA777
Event PnL
-$2.64
Volume
$91.07
Positions
PlayTimePlayTime

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B"?

As of the latest update, Ends in Daytime leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? at 9,995% and Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) at 6,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $189.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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