Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

$184.4K Vol
Nov 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
HULIGANI 81.5%
PlayTime 18.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,000% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? follows in second place at 9,000%, while Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) sits in third with 5,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $184.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? (9,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
  • Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) (5,900%): Sitting in third place with a 5,900% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%), Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%), and Any Player Rampage (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Ends in Daytime are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
3Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)5900.0%$155900¢-5800¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Game 2 Winner4100.0%$2.3K4100¢-4000¢
20O/U 2.5 Games4100.0%$104100¢-4000¢
21Match Winner1850.0%$41.9K1850¢-1750¢
22Ends in Daytime1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1000.0%$1001000¢-900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
27Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)50.0%—50¢50¢
28Game 1 Winner5.0%$140.0K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PlayTime and HULIGANI in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against HULIGANI.

This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against PlayTime.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 7, 2026

  • 01:01 PM
    PEpepe232
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333332 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.6

  • 11:07 AM
    SKSkyCapital71
    $100.40

    Bought 167.335738 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.6

  • 11:03 AM
    DEDeepcoin
    $1.00

    Bought 2.325582 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.43

  • 10:45 AM
    PAPABLOESCOBAR25
    $28.30

    Bought 48.793104 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.58

  • 09:32 AM
    BIbiying88888
    $62.70

    Bought 114 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.55

  • 09:32 AM
    ——
    $2.45

    Bought 5 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.49

  • 09:31 AM
    ARarbmonitor
    $135.48

    Bought 265.647059 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.51

  • 09:31 AM
    FLflashback999
    $7.14

    Bought 14.571429 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.49

  • 09:31 AM
    3838791873984189
    $49.98

    Bought 108.66 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.46

  • 09:31 AM
    SEsellingsm
    $40.94

    Bought 89 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.46

  • 09:31 AM
    ——
    $22.82

    Bought 49.608696 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.46

  • 09:31 AM
    EBEBUN1
    $7.14

    Bought 14.571429 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

E11
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
-$713.22
Volume
$18,559.11
Positions
PlayTimeHULIGANI
F32
0xf3ce…a57a
Event PnL
+$980.22
Volume
$11,564.13
Positions
HULIGANI
FO3
forsenxd
Event PnL
+$9.65
Volume
$7,986.86
Positions
HULIGANI
SK4
Skritopoolniy
Event PnL
-$537.11
Volume
$7,451.67
Positions
PlayTime
NE5
Neimuking
Event PnL
+$790.01
Volume
$7,000.00
Positions
HULIGANI
RA6
RandomVibecoder
Event PnL
-$494.24
Volume
$6,124.73
Positions
PlayTime
GA7
gamblergambler
Event PnL
-$617.73
Volume
$4,575.79
Positions
PlayTime
DD8
DDOOTTAA
Event PnL
+$309.71
Volume
$3,710.76
Positions
HULIGANI

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,000% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? at 9,000% and Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) at 5,900%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $184.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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