Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

$1M Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yakult Brothers 55.0%
Pipsqueak+4 45.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $536.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? (9,950%), Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? (9,050%), and Match Winner (5,800%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$536.7K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$5969995¢-9895¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?9050.0%$59050¢-8950¢
6Match Winner5800.0%$68.2K5800¢-5700¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?5750.0%$55750¢-5650¢
8Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Ends in Daytime4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
19First Blood in Game 1?4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50.0%$550¢50¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?50.0%$24350¢50¢
22Game Handicap: PIPS+4 (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)5.0%$18195¢
23Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)5.0%$8095¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Pipsqueak+4 and Yakult Brothers in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win the match against Yakult Brothers.

This market will resolve to "Yakult Brothers" if Yakult Brothers win the match against Pipsqueak+4.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 20, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CY1
CyberScore.live
Event PnL
-$49,981.15
Volume
$89,795.59
Positions
Pipsqueak+4Yakult Brothers
E12
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
+$17,559.33
Volume
$87,078.75
Positions
Pipsqueak+4Pipsqueak+4Pipsqueak+4
F23
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
-$19,833.04
Volume
$36,999.88
Positions
Yakult Brothers
F34
0xf3ce…a57a
Event PnL
-$22,575.89
Volume
$35,882.54
Positions
Pipsqueak+4Yakult Brothers
SK5
Skritopoolniy
Event PnL
-$10,819.00
Volume
$30,573.09
Positions
Yakult BrothersPipsqueak+4
646
0x6453…8115
Event PnL
-$12,994.84
Volume
$29,999.91
Positions
Pipsqueak+4Yakult Brothers
LU7
LuckyWin
Event PnL
+$14.76
Volume
$27,623.85
Positions
Pipsqueak+4
LH8
LhordGryffin
Event PnL
+$13.86
Volume
$27,200.00
Positions
Pipsqueak+4

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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