Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

$1.5M Vol
Oct 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
PARIVISION 87.5%
Aurora 12.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? follows in second place at 9,995%, while Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.5M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.1M in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? (9,995%), Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (9,995%), and Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? (9,995%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$1.1M9995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$4.0K9995¢-9895¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
10Match Winner8750.0%$243.2K8750¢-8650¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?7500.0%$977500¢-7400¢
12Game 2 Winner6750.0%$28.3K6750¢-6650¢
13Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)6750.0%$38.2K6750¢-6650¢
14Ends in Daytime5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
15Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Beat Roshan4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
20Both Teams Destroy Barracks4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
21First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
22Both Teams Destroy Barracks4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
23Both Teams Beat Roshan4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
24Any Player Ultra Kill4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
25Any Player Rampage4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
26O/U 2.5 Games3250.0%$5283250¢-3150¢
27Both Teams Destroy Barracks950.0%—950¢-850¢
28Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
29Any Player Rampage950.0%—950¢-850¢
30Any Player Rampage850.0%—850¢-750¢
31Ends in Daytime90.0%—90¢10¢
32Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 1?50.0%$550¢50¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 1?50.0%$550¢50¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Semifinal match between PARIVISION and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Aurora.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against PARIVISION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 10, 2026

  • 02:10 PM
    BAbabyboy9
    $1,741.76

    Bought 2561.41 PARIVISION for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.68

  • 02:09 PM
    ESesport-puman
    $2.00

    Bought 14.285715 Aurora for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.14

  • 02:09 PM
    SHshaorun
    $24.79

    Bought 37.560605 PARIVISION for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.66

  • 02:09 PM
    YIyishiwucheng
    $127.73

    Bought 375.69 Aurora for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.34

  • 02:09 PM
    SHshaorun
    $23.83

    Bought 35.57353 PARIVISION for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 02:09 PM
    WOworkerworker
    $238.51

    Bought 361.38 PARIVISION for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.66

  • 02:08 PM
    KAKamaz.cem
    $45.60

    Bought 70.153845 PARIVISION for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 02:08 PM
    MAmachiney
    $10.00

    Bought 11.627907 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.86

  • 02:08 PM
    2121372137
    $15.00

    Bought 100 Aurora for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.15

  • 02:08 PM
    ROrossoftw
    $7.78

    Bought 12.34375 PARIVISION for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.63

  • 02:06 PM
    0X0xonlywin
    $8.59

    Bought 23.216217 Aurora for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 02:05 PM
    0X0xonlywin
    $12.00

    Bought 80 Aurora for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.15

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DI1
Diabolical-Prize
Event PnL
+$40,043.13
Volume
$170,025.93
Positions
PARIVISION
E12
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
-$23,142.63
Volume
$115,946.47
Positions
AuroraAurora
FO3
fortnitethegoat667
Event PnL
-$4,837.07
Volume
$40,702.67
Positions
Aurora
ME4
Medo3D
Event PnL
-$5,862.74
Volume
$26,065.25
Positions
Aurora
SU5
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
-$7,374.95
Volume
$24,999.99
Positions
Aurora
SK6
Skritopoolniy
Event PnL
-$5,622.99
Volume
$23,747.91
Positions
Aurora
CO7
CORGI777
Event PnL
-$2,347.51
Volume
$22,359.25
Positions
Aurora
F28
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
-$5,127.97
Volume
$21,583.59
Positions
Aurora

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? at 9,995% and Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.5M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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