Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Playoffs

$294.9K Vol
Nov 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
potn9ki 98.4%
oveA 1.7%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,895% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 5,700%, while Both Teams Beat Roshan sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $294.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,895%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,895¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $49.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (5,700%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 5,700% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,700¢.
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Beat Roshan, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%), Any Player Rampage (5,000%), and Ends in Daytime (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Beat Roshan are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9895.0%$49.5K9895¢-9795¢
2Game 2 Winner5700.0%$195.7K5700¢-5600¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11O/U 2.5 Games1175.0%$8.6K1175¢-1075¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between potn9ki and oveA in the Esports Pro Circuit Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "potn9ki" if potn9ki win the match against oveA.

This market will resolve to "oveA" if oveA win the match against potn9ki.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 13, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 13, 2026

  • 01:09 PM
    FAFANATD4YU
    $26.21

    Sold 30.13 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA - Game 1 Winner at 0.87

  • 01:09 PM
    UNUNIVERSEMVP
    $8.20

    Bought 10 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA - Game 1 Winner at 0.82

  • 01:08 PM
    0X0x0Cc25c40fFF7E71954da7353b199fd653aD97efD-1767741686730
    $4.20

    Bought 5.25 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA - Game 1 Winner at 0.8

  • 01:08 PM
    BBBBback
    $5.00

    Bought 6.097561 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA - Game 1 Winner at 0.82

  • 01:08 PM
    DWdwedwd
    $1.31

    Bought 1.597561 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA - Game 1 Winner at 0.82

  • 01:08 PM
    DFdfdeath
    $23.50

    Bought 50 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Playoffs at 0.47

  • 01:08 PM
    DWdwedwd
    $12.44

    Bought 14.809518 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA - Game 1 Winner at 0.84

  • 01:08 PM
    0X0xc5d909a16130A0A0b61Af3dB09a89e108093b188-1780593472190
    $200.84

    Bought 286.91861 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA - Game 1 Winner at 0.7

  • 01:08 PM
    0X0xd15696EFC99CF15c3e2f070769780C90917de56f-1775546561453
    $7.08

    Bought 9.698629 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA - Game 1 Winner at 0.73

  • 01:08 PM
    MRMrConsistency
    $145.52

    Bought 223.88 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA - Game 1 Winner at 0.65

  • 01:08 PM
    ——
    $75.12

    Bought 113.821193 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA - Game 1 Winner at 0.66

  • 01:08 PM
    LEleaguemom
    $4.60

    Bought 9.99 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Playoffs at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

2D1
0x2dea…69de
Event PnL
+$229.97
Volume
$33,938.27
Positions
oveAoveA
ME2
Medo3D
Event PnL
-$1,933.48
Volume
$24,909.03
Positions
oveAoveA
SK3
skippydev
Event PnL
-$437.35
Volume
$15,136.30
Positions
oveApotn9ki
LU4
LuccaF7
Event PnL
-$27.69
Volume
$14,662.53
Positions
oveAoveA
YE5
yep.itsme
Event PnL
-$3,441.37
Volume
$11,720.09
Positions
potn9ki
BI6
binakl
Event PnL
+$3,004.68
Volume
$11,154.71
Positions
potn9kipotn9ki
BE7
Beasts
Event PnL
+$274.32
Volume
$11,059.77
Positions
potn9ki
288
0x287d…6858
Event PnL
-$244.11
Volume
$10,079.29
Positions
oveA

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,895% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 5,700% and Both Teams Beat Roshan at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $294.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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