Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C

$183K Vol
Nov 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
potn9ki 52.0%
HellNight- 48.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 2.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Ends in Daytime follows in second place at 9,100%, while Both Teams Beat Roshan sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $183K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $52 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Ends in Daytime (9,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Ends in Daytime maintains a 9,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,100¢.
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Beat Roshan, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%), Any Player Rampage (5,000%), and Match Winner (3,570%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Ultra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$529995¢-9895¢
2Ends in Daytime9100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Match Winner3570.0%$148.4K3570¢-3470¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
8Any Player Rampage950.0%—950¢-850¢
9Ends in Daytime900.0%—900¢-800¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan900.0%—900¢-800¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks900.0%—900¢-800¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks900.0%—900¢-800¢
13Game 2 Winner5.0%$65.2K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between potn9ki and HellNight- in the Esports Pro Circuit Group C, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "potn9ki" if potn9ki win the match against HellNight-.

This market will resolve to "HellNight-" if HellNight- win the match against potn9ki.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 2, 2026

  • 01:16 PM
    UFufllfff
    $46.28

    Bought 52 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner at 0.89

  • 01:16 PM
    JIJimmyman132
    $18.47

    Bought 131.96 HellNight- for Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner at 0.14

  • 01:15 PM
    MIMimiza
    $10.50

    Sold 50 HellNight- for Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner at 0.21

  • 01:15 PM
    BEBETBOOM.PURE
    $135.82

    Bought 183.543064 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner at 0.74

  • 01:15 PM
    MAMangoCollector
    $197.09

    Bought 273.737296 potn9ki for Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner at 0.72

  • 01:14 PM
    0X0x0ae973ec1d620e38744cce86a0e5ae79c5185f1e-1793622650175
    $16.83

    Sold 51 HellNight- for Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner at 0.33

  • 01:14 PM
    JIJimmyman132
    $6.51

    Bought 31 HellNight- for Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner at 0.21

  • 01:14 PM
    LOlomatic
    $10.71

    Bought 51 HellNight- for Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner at 0.21

  • 01:14 PM
    JIJimmyman132
    $5.67

    Bought 27 HellNight- for Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner at 0.21

  • 01:14 PM
    LOlomatic
    $10.92

    Bought 52 HellNight- for Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner at 0.21

  • 01:13 PM
    0X0x0ae973ec1d620e38744cce86a0e5ae79c5185f1e-1793622650175
    $9.35

    Bought 55 HellNight- for Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner at 0.17

  • 01:13 PM
    JIJimmyman132
    $17.10

    Bought 90 HellNight- for Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner at 0.19

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KU1
kuku1472589
Event PnL
-$3.55
Volume
$498.05
Positions
HellNight-
FA2
FaustMendez
Event PnL
+$1.67
Volume
$225.49
Positions
potn9ki
XE3
xerrenvs
Event PnL
+$0.21
Volume
$170.86
Positions
potn9ki
NU4
nuxxor4
Event PnL
+$0.97
Volume
$142.29
Positions
potn9ki
985
98Fox
Event PnL
-$12.26
Volume
$90.73
Positions
HellNight-
BF6
0xbfD7…7ff0
Event PnL
-$9.89
Volume
$86.91
Positions
HellNight-
BO7
BookWarrior
Event PnL
+$7.87
Volume
$58.33
Positions
potn9ki
088
0x0820-2
Event PnL
-$1.92
Volume
$48.00
Positions
potn9ki

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C"?

As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Ends in Daytime at 9,100% and Both Teams Beat Roshan at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $183K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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