Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

$128.5K Vol
Sep 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Zero Tenacity 56.0%
Nemiga Gaming 43.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Any Player Ultra Kill follows in second place at 9,950%, while O/U 2.5 Games sits in third with 9,695%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $128.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $117.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Any Player Ultra Kill (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Any Player Ultra Kill maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,695%): Sitting in third place with a 9,695% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 2.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (5,000%), Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Ultra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$117.6K9995¢-9895¢
2Any Player Ultra Kill9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
3O/U 2.5 Games9695.0%$129695¢-9595¢
4Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Match Winner4400.0%$14.6K4400¢-4300¢
16Ends in Daytime950.0%950¢-850¢
17Both Teams Beat Roshan950.0%950¢-850¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks950.0%950¢-850¢
19Game 2 Winner115.0%$124.0K115¢-15¢
20Any Player Rampage50.0%50¢50¢
21Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)5.0%$2.2K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Zero Tenacity in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win the match against Zero Tenacity.

This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win the match against Nemiga Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 15, 2026

  • 10:13 AM
    GAGall1048596
    $25.00

    Bought 40.322581 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.62

  • 09:13 AM
    SCscorpi0nus
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.62

  • 08:53 AM
    FOforsenxd
    $3.05

    Bought 5 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.61

  • 02:31 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $2.00

    Bought 5 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.4

  • 01:12 AM
    $1.85

    Bought 3.032787 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.61

  • 12:51 AM
    NAnaaaaaicow
    $198.43

    Bought 325.295484 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.61

  • 12:49 AM
    ODoddnectaryon
    $20.00

    Bought 33.333332 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.6

  • 12:32 AM
    JZjzr09
    $5.00

    Bought 8.333332 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.6

Sep 14, 2026

  • 10:05 PM
    HEHereToWinBig
    $1.74

    Bought 3 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner at 0.58

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

F31
0xf3ce…a57a
Event PnL
+$1,138.84
Volume
$18,052.04
Positions
Nemiga Gaming
ME2
MedoD3P
Event PnL
-$600.88
Volume
$10,044.24
Positions
Zero Tenacity
SK3
Skritopoolniy
Event PnL
-$281.13
Volume
$5,999.97
Positions
Zero Tenacity
FF4
0xffAa…5341
Event PnL
-$342.73
Volume
$4,780.00
Positions
Zero Tenacity
5F5
0x5f30…2815
Event PnL
-$133.54
Volume
$3,216.49
Positions
Zero Tenacity
R26
r2d2v2
Event PnL
+$171.25
Volume
$2,140.65
Positions
Nemiga Gaming
1R7
1rerrr
Event PnL
-$169.69
Volume
$1,885.43
Positions
Zero Tenacity
AL8
alpheclabs
Event PnL
+$82.31
Volume
$1,829.00
Positions
Nemiga Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Any Player Ultra Kill at 9,950% and O/U 2.5 Games at 9,695%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $128.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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