Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Kalmychata (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$331.8K Vol
Oct 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Kalmychata 57.0%
Nemiga Gaming 43.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Kalmychata (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 2.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 9,995%, while Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $331.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $404 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,100%), Ends in Daytime (5,000%), and First Blood in Game 1? (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Match Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$4049995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$109995¢-9895¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9100.0%$109100¢-9000¢
5Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Match Winner4250.0%$21.8K4250¢-4150¢
8Both Teams Beat Roshan3350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
9Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
10Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
11Any Player Rampage2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%—50¢50¢
13First Blood in Game 2?50.0%—50¢50¢
14Game 2 Winner5.0%$208.0K5¢95¢
15Ends in Daytime5.0%—5¢95¢
16Both Teams Beat Roshan5.0%—5¢95¢
17Any Player Ultra Kill5.0%—5¢95¢
18Any Player Rampage5.0%—5¢95¢
19Game Handicap: KALMY (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)5.0%$1245¢95¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?5.0%—5¢95¢
21Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Kalmychata (+1.5)5.0%$1425¢95¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?5.0%$105¢95¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?5.0%—5¢95¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?5.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Round 1 match between Nemiga Gaming and Kalmychata in the DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win the match against Kalmychata.

This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kalmychata win the match against Nemiga Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 13, 2026

  • 08:25 PM
    JZjzr09
    $7.05

    Bought 11.557376 Kalmychata for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Kalmychata (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.61

  • 06:18 PM
    JTJtiz
    $3.05

    Bought 5 Kalmychata for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Kalmychata (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.61

  • 03:14 PM
    BSbsdsch
    $2.60

    Bought 5 Kalmychata for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Kalmychata (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GB1
gbby123
Event PnL
-$0.54
Volume
$1,280.67
Positions
Nemiga Gaming
HU2
hubertus01
Event PnL
-$16.06
Volume
$1,198.24
Positions
Nemiga Gaming
LO3
loldot
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Kalmychata
AN4
antec
Event PnL
+$8.80
Volume
$720.00
Positions
Kalmychata
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$2.56
Volume
$578.37
Positions
Kalmychata
RA6
Razgil
Event PnL
+$5.20
Volume
$260.00
Positions
Kalmychata
IO7
iokp45io
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$101.33
Positions
Nemiga Gaming
SH8
SHLDota
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$100.00
Positions
Nemiga Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Kalmychata (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? at 9,995% and Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $331.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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