Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

$130.7K Vol
Oct 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Dawn Bulls 51.5%
Nemiga Gaming 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Both Teams Beat Roshan sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $130.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $107.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Beat Roshan, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Ultra Kill (9,050%), Ends in Daytime (5,000%), and Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Barracks are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$107.8K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$649995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
4Any Player Ultra Kill9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
5Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Match Winner2950.0%$16.2K2950¢-2850¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks950.0%—950¢-850¢
12Any Player Rampage950.0%—950¢-850¢
13Ends in Daytime900.0%—900¢-800¢
14Game 2 Winner5.0%$14.6K5¢95¢
15Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)5.0%$3515¢95¢
16Ends in Daytime5.0%—5¢95¢
17Both Teams Beat Roshan5.0%—5¢95¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks5.0%—5¢95¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill5.0%—5¢95¢
20Any Player Rampage5.0%—5¢95¢
21Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Dawn Bulls (+1.5)5.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Dawn Bulls in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win the match against Dawn Bulls.

This market will resolve to "Dawn Bulls" if Dawn Bulls win the match against Nemiga Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 13, 2026

  • 01:05 PM
    JZjzr09
    $7.00

    Bought 8.860757 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B at 0.79

  • 01:04 PM
    ——
    $1.15

    Bought 5.227273 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B at 0.22

  • 01:02 PM
    ZZzzkinyyz
    $4.84

    Sold 15.62 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls - Game 1 Winner at 0.31

  • 11:59 AM
    BAbandit55
    $10.00

    Bought 12.658228 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B at 0.79

  • 10:56 AM
    FEfenggggg
    $300.13

    Bought 400.17 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner at 0.75

  • 10:56 AM
    FEfenggggg
    $300.13

    Bought 400.17 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner at 0.75

  • 10:56 AM
    ZEZeitge1st
    $14.82

    Bought 19.76 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner at 0.75

  • 10:56 AM
    0X0xFe77AE932bbB0174543F7312992CEd10DbC28fE4-1780652519271
    $7.80

    Bought 30 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner at 0.26

  • 10:56 AM
    FEfenggggg
    $112.65

    Bought 152.23 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner at 0.74

  • 10:53 AM
    FEfenggggg
    $292.43

    Bought 395.175676 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner at 0.74

  • 10:52 AM
    FEfenggggg
    $3.55

    Bought 5 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner at 0.71

  • 10:38 AM
    SEset1991
    $1.00

    Bought 4.545455 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B at 0.22

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

RA1
RandomVibecoder
Event PnL
+$121.52
Volume
$1,863.81
Positions
Nemiga Gaming
AN2
antec
Event PnL
-$97.05
Volume
$1,858.47
Positions
Dawn BullsNemiga GamingNemiga Gaming+1
FR3
FrankieX
Event PnL
+$270.00
Volume
$1,499.98
Positions
Nemiga Gaming
FE4
fenggggg
Event PnL
-$111.06
Volume
$1,382.75
Positions
Dawn Bulls
KW5
kw44
Event PnL
-$80.99
Volume
$1,299.97
Positions
Dawn Bulls
GA6
gamblergambler
Event PnL
+$130.80
Volume
$1,154.13
Positions
Nemiga Gaming
BI7
BillBenter2026
Event PnL
-$125.33
Volume
$727.43
Positions
Dawn Bulls
238
0x234f…6320
Event PnL
+$72.22
Volume
$710.08
Positions
Nemiga Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Both Teams Beat Roshan at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $130.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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