
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.1M, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $613.8K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) (9,960%), Ends in Daytime (9,855%), and Any Player Ultra Kill (9,850%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like First Blood in Game 2? are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $613.8K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Match Winner | 9995.0% | $123.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | 9960.0% | $50 | 9960¢ | -9860¢ |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 9855.0% | — | 9855¢ | -9755¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 9850.0% | — | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 2? | 9850.0% | — | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Rampage | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Rampage | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 16 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 145.0% | — | 145¢ | -45¢ |
| 20 | O/U 2.5 Games | 5.0% | $758 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 21 | Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) | 5.0% | $2.0K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Team Nemesis and MOUZ in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against MOUZ.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Team Nemesis.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 21, 2026
- 11:12 AMGRgrandculp$6.20
Sold 10 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.62
- 11:12 AMJVJvbcfjb$1,028.07
Sold 1631.86 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.63
- 11:12 AMBAbaseinv3$1.90
Bought 5 Team Nemesis for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.38
- 11:12 AM1515perces$6.46
Bought 17 Team Nemesis for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.38
- 11:12 AMGRgrandculp$3.80
Bought 10 Team Nemesis for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.38
- 11:11 AMLUluovik$101.09
Bought 297.323824 Team Nemesis for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.34
- 11:11 AMORorichenxi$57.77
Bought 88.876922 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.65
- 11:11 AMDODotaBuff-Com$27.72
Bought 42 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.66
- 11:11 AMDODotaBuff-Com$105.63
Bought 162.5 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.65
- 11:10 AMASAsh2104$1.00
Bought 1.538462 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.65
- 11:10 AMKAKazacugambler39$17.00
Bought 25 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.68
- 11:10 AMHFhff.$1,060.08
Bought 3312.74 Team Nemesis for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.32
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage"?
As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.1M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
