Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

$1.2M Vol
Sep 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
GamerLegion 59.5%
Team Nemesis 40.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 2.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Ends in Daytime follows in second place at 9,050%, while Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.2M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $452 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Ends in Daytime (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Ends in Daytime maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (5,000%), Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Ultra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$4529995¢-9895¢
2Ends in Daytime9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
4Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Match Winner3950.0%$134.7K3950¢-3850¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan950.0%950¢-850¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks950.0%950¢-850¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
14Any Player Rampage950.0%950¢-850¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?950.0%950¢-850¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?950.0%950¢-850¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?950.0%950¢-850¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?950.0%950¢-850¢
19Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)40.0%$540¢60¢
20Game 2 Winner5.0%$652.1K95¢
21Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)5.0%$8.8K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Nemesis and GamerLegion in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against GamerLegion.

This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Team Nemesis.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 22, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ES1
EsportsAI
Event PnL
+$44,656.75
Volume
$122,054.34
Positions
Team NemesisGamerLegion
E12
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
-$601.13
Volume
$63,914.43
Positions
Team NemesisTeam NemesisTeam Nemesis
CO3
CORGI8
Event PnL
-$13,294.95
Volume
$57,665.09
Positions
Team NemesisGamerLegion
ZE4
Zenhack
Event PnL
-$884.29
Volume
$29,710.82
Positions
GamerLegionGamerLegionGamerLegion
ME5
MedoD3P
Event PnL
-$5,318.58
Volume
$25,523.93
Positions
GamerLegionGamerLegion
EQ6
equalsignificance
Event PnL
+$132.47
Volume
$25,099.61
Positions
GamerLegion
SO7
sofa88888
Event PnL
-$130.00
Volume
$24,000.00
Positions
GamerLegionTeam Nemesis
738
0x73bc…3396
Event PnL
-$4,351.70
Volume
$19,799.95
Positions
Team NemesisGamerLegion

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Ends in Daytime at 9,050% and Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.2M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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