
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5) sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $190.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $128.8K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5) (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,955%), Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,955%), and Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? (9,955%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $128.8K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Match Winner | 9995.0% | $14.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5) | 9995.0% | $4.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 9955.0% | — | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 9955.0% | — | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 9955.0% | $10 | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 9955.0% | $10 | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 8 | First Blood in Game 2? | 9950.0% | $50 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 9 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 9950.0% | $10 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 9950.0% | $10 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Rampage | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 13 | First Blood in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | $50 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | First Blood in Game 1? | 1000.0% | $50 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 21 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Rampage | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 23 | Ends in Daytime | 50.0% | $50 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 26 | Any Player Rampage | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 27 | Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 28 | O/U 2.5 Games | 5.0% | $107 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and Pipsqueak+4 in the BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Pipsqueak+4.
This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win the match against Natus Vincere.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 13, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 13, 2026
- 12:28 AMFIfinnnark$31.00
Bought 50 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.62
- 12:26 AM3838791873984189$93.28
Bought 358.758215 Pipsqueak+4 for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 0.26
- 12:19 AMSRsreca$1.25
Bought 5 Pipsqueak+4 for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 0.25
- 12:14 AM0X0x848373CE90B84fa58Bae3DE6710e179774DCF466-1787344163189$1.64
Bought 2.603175 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.63
- 12:10 AM0X0x57b258499f7A4cfC5043ceae57A51f7e6f529Da2-1779737456696$147.47
Bought 335.161364 Pipsqueak+4 for Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5) at 0.44
- 12:10 AMBIBigPunch$6.90
Bought 16.046512 Pipsqueak+4 for Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5) at 0.43
- 12:05 AM0X0x848373CE90B84fa58Bae3DE6710e179774DCF466-1787344163189$10.00
Bought 17.24138 Natus Vincere for Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5) at 0.58
Sep 12, 2026
- 11:04 PMMOmooseborzoi$3.93
Bought 23.09 Pipsqueak+4 for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.17
- 09:48 PMSUsukez$39.50
Bought 68.103447 Natus Vincere for Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5) at 0.58
- 09:20 PM0X0x591d13B5d39d33c4A8cAc4a3a7a7a75B60A0f4Df-1778770894396$100.00
Bought 172.413792 Natus Vincere for Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5) at 0.58
- 09:19 PMJUjustwannatry$4.80
Bought 28.23 Pipsqueak+4 for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.17
- 09:01 PMFOforsenxd$8.30
Bought 10 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.83
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5) at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $190.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
