Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs

$433.3K Vol
Sep 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
MOUZ 100.0%
HULIGANI 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Both Teams Destroy Barracks sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $433.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $440.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Both Teams Destroy Barracks (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Destroy Barracks, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%), Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%), and Any Player Rampage (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Ends in Daytime are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner9995.0%$440.5K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$1839995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Destroy Barracks9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Ends in Daytime950.0%950¢-850¢
8Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)5.0%$23595¢
9Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)5.0%$2995¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between MOUZ and HULIGANI in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against HULIGANI.

This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against MOUZ.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 9, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 9, 2026

  • 12:05 PM
    ALAlexLepik
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 HULIGANI for Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner at 0.45

  • 12:01 PM
    ALAlexLepik
    $30.75

    Bought 75 HULIGANI for Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 12:00 PM
    ZHzhengfeng66
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner at 0.61

  • 12:00 PM
    0X0xBadB9af986EE66437BD39E6cd3D3036CbbDc31a
    $15.05

    Bought 35 HULIGANI for Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.43

  • 12:00 PM
    9Z9Z2026
    $24.00

    Bought 40 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner at 0.6

  • 12:00 PM
    9Z9Z2026
    $12.00

    Bought 20 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner at 0.6

  • 11:57 AM
    0X0x581b8B26d720C67F262306A4673f6146974BF083-1761701074733
    $8.24

    Bought 19.162791 HULIGANI for Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner at 0.43

  • 11:57 AM
    0X0x2f423e9a4a315f989ec9e142Dfe2E0bbbD69bf3B-1771928698437
    $55.30

    Bought 125.681819 HULIGANI for Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:55 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 22.727273 HULIGANI for Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:55 AM
    BObotza123
    $8.33

    Bought 18.94 HULIGANI for Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:55 AM
    0X0xBadB9af986EE66437BD39E6cd3D3036CbbDc31a
    $88.00

    Bought 200 HULIGANI for Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:55 AM
    AJAJSV
    $4.19

    Bought 9.744187 HULIGANI for Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner at 0.43

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SU1
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
+$7,601.74
Volume
$15,974.87
Positions
HULIGANI
5F2
0x5f30…2815
Event PnL
-$3,145.06
Volume
$12,078.59
Positions
MOUZ
ZI3
zilong888
Event PnL
+$31.30
Volume
$8,606.56
Positions
MOUZ
BA4
Barbozaaa321
Event PnL
-$2,387.50
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
MOUZ
3B5
0x3b63…5269
Event PnL
-$237.60
Volume
$3,863.37
Positions
HULIGANI
FB6
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$785.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
HULIGANI
SP7
sportmaster777
Event PnL
+$762.40
Volume
$2,881.93
Positions
HULIGANI
WH8
what-the-dog-doin
Event PnL
+$1,229.92
Volume
$2,675.39
Positions
HULIGANI

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Both Teams Destroy Barracks at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $433.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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