Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C

$576.2K Vol
Nov 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Liquid 56.0%
LEGION 44.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Ends in Daytime is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,000% chance of winning. Both Teams Beat Roshan follows in second place at 9,000%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 7,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $576.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Ends in Daytime (9,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Ends in Daytime is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Beat Roshan maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (7,250%): Sitting in third place with a 7,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 2.5 Games (7,250%), Match Winner (5,550%), and Ends in Daytime (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Beat Roshan are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Ends in Daytime9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
2Both Teams Beat Roshan9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
3Game 2 Winner7250.0%$2.3K7250¢-7150¢
4O/U 2.5 Games7250.0%$2497250¢-7150¢
5Match Winner5550.0%$32.0K5550¢-5450¢
6Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Game Handicap: LEGION (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
18Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
19Any Player Rampage1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
20Game 1 Winner5.0%$528.9K5¢95¢
21Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)5.0%$12.7K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Liquid and LEGION in the 1win Essence Group C, initially scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against LEGION.

This market will resolve to "LEGION" if LEGION win the match against Team Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 14, 2026

  • 12:28 PM
    STstone.
    $0.75

    Bought 5 LEGION for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.15

  • 12:20 PM
    OGoGsHydro
    $10.17

    Bought 17.534483 Team Liquid for Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 12:20 PM
    OGoGsZero
    $10.70

    Bought 18.448276 Team Liquid for Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 12:20 PM
    OGoGsPale
    $29.79

    Bought 51.362069 Team Liquid for Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 12:20 PM
    ONoneheadedtiger
    $326.89

    Bought 398.65 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.82

  • 12:20 PM
    CHchaeri
    $4.49

    Bought 26.411765 LEGION for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.17

  • 12:13 PM
    JVjvpl
    $39.79

    Bought 66.311476 Team Liquid for Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5) at 0.6

  • 12:12 PM
    K2K2899743
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.82

  • 12:08 PM
    ULulfsark0001
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.82

  • 12:08 PM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $36.90

    Bought 45 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.82

  • 12:08 PM
    0X0xc8D9C0Df291315f2184eCdaB4ED8247618aCdF36-1768237865742
    $82.00

    Bought 100 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.82

  • 12:06 PM
    .C.castorcurse
    $24.60

    Bought 30 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.82

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

YI1
yishiwucheng
Event PnL
-$44.63
Volume
$5,209.60
Positions
LEGIONLEGION
SQ2
sQreenDota2Bet
Event PnL
+$37.44
Volume
$4,904.12
Positions
LEGION
BA3
Barry1992
Event PnL
-$0.42
Volume
$4,452.03
Positions
Team Liquid
PU4
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$34.25
Volume
$3,932.00
Positions
LEGION
TE5
teteulovespedin
Event PnL
-$38.87
Volume
$2,923.69
Positions
Team Liquid
8D6
8D1cDXikbIYM5T
Event PnL
-$10.43
Volume
$2,700.00
Positions
Team Liquid
LH7
LHZ6002
Event PnL
-$25.40
Volume
$2,482.91
Positions
Team Liquid
JU8
JuiceFarm
Event PnL
-$11.00
Volume
$2,199.98
Positions
LEGION

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C"?

As of the latest update, Ends in Daytime leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,000% win probability, followed by Both Teams Beat Roshan at 9,000% and Game 2 Winner at 7,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $576.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Start trading