Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

$2M Vol
Sep 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Yandex 100.0%
LGD Gaming 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Ends in Daytime follows in second place at 9,050%, while Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $2M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $49.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Ends in Daytime (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Ends in Daytime maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,050%), Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? (9,050%), and Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? (9,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)9995.0%$49.7K9995¢-9895¢
2Ends in Daytime9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
10First Blood in Game 2?5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
11Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
13Any Player Rampage4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
14Both Teams Beat Roshan4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
15Both Teams Destroy Barracks4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
16Any Player Ultra Kill4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
17Any Player Rampage4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
18Any Player Ultra Kill4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
19Both Teams Destroy Barracks950.0%—950¢-850¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?950.0%—950¢-850¢
21Game 2 Winner5.0%$929.7K5¢95¢
22Match Winner5.0%$266.1K5¢95¢
23O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$7.5K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Final match between LGD Gaming and Team Yandex in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Team Yandex.

This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against LGD Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 26, 2026

  • 12:32 PM
    LILisanal-Gaib
    $43.00

    Bought 50 Team Yandex for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.86

  • 12:32 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.90

    Bought 2.209303 Team Yandex for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.86

  • 12:31 PM
    WIWilliamxin
    $1.50

    Bought 10 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.15

  • 12:30 PM
    SHSHLDota
    $172.00

    Bought 200 Team Yandex for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.86

  • 12:30 PM
    0X0xAE2771284Fb3Beb7c4b8C2717C76755192916fB2-1774784239544
    $10.00

    Bought 62.5 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.16

  • 12:30 PM
    HEheal1god
    $60.20

    Bought 70 Team Yandex for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.86

  • 12:30 PM
    OWowdz
    $2.08

    Bought 13 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.16

  • 12:30 PM
    0X0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
    $79.00

    Bought 136.206897 Team Yandex for Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 12:30 PM
    0X0x2F4B90a52b00c206223FAf59926c30D68f3769de-1768463896875
    $32.00

    Sold 200 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner at 0.16

  • 12:29 PM
    OWowdz
    $2.10

    Bought 5 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 12:29 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $95.23

    Bought 113.369043 Team Yandex for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner at 0.84

  • 12:29 PM
    WHwhave
    $70.00

    Bought 83.333334 Team Yandex for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner at 0.84

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CO1
CORGI777
Event PnL
-$9,921.34
Volume
$73,656.46
Positions
LGD GamingLGD Gaming
YI2
yishiwucheng
Event PnL
+$1,507.52
Volume
$47,399.28
Positions
Team YandexTeam YandexLGD Gaming+1
BI3
Birdof
Event PnL
+$22.48
Volume
$44,877.07
Positions
Team Yandex
CY4
CyberScore.live
Event PnL
-$9,947.03
Volume
$35,714.22
Positions
LGD Gaming
E15
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
+$8,670.69
Volume
$33,130.44
Positions
Team YandexTeam Yandex
SO6
sofa88888
Event PnL
-$8,194.99
Volume
$32,999.98
Positions
LGD GamingLGD Gaming
TY7
tyoprkg
Event PnL
+$3,276.00
Volume
$31,200.00
Positions
Team Yandex
LU8
LuckyWin
Event PnL
+$15.78
Volume
$30,589.90
Positions
Team Yandex

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Ends in Daytime at 9,050% and Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $2M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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