Dota 2: Kalmychata vs uralan (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

$150.7K Vol
Sep 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
uralan 61.5%
Kalmychata 38.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Kalmychata vs uralan (BO3) - European Pro League Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,750% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 5,000%, while Game Handicap: KALMY (-1.5) vs uralan (+1.5) sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $150.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (5,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $837 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Game Handicap: KALMY (-1.5) vs uralan (+1.5) (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: KALMY (-1.5) vs uralan (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (5,000%), Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Ultra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner5750.0%$8375750¢-5650¢
2O/U 2.5 Games5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
3Game Handicap: KALMY (-1.5) vs uralan (+1.5)5000.0%$9.9K5000¢-4900¢
4Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Match Winner3600.0%$13.1K3600¢-3500¢
20Game 1 Winner275.0%$126.9K275¢-175¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Kalmychata and uralan in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kalmychata win the match against uralan.

This market will resolve to "uralan" if uralan win the match against Kalmychata.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TZ1
tzyyng
Event PnL
+$151.77
Volume
$15,900.39
Positions
uralanuralan
VI2
Villson
Event PnL
-$489.35
Volume
$15,229.51
Positions
Kalmychata
TK3
tksjcpk
Event PnL
+$234.07
Volume
$11,441.07
Positions
uralan
E74
0xe76A…0971
Event PnL
-$193.07
Volume
$6,835.22
Positions
uralanuralan
FO5
forsenxd
Event PnL
-$67.39
Volume
$6,748.80
Positions
KalmychataKalmychata
446
0x444d…5481
Event PnL
+$163.29
Volume
$5,912.69
Positions
uralan
KA7
KagenoKokoro
Event PnL
-$77.26
Volume
$5,902.85
Positions
uralan
GA8
Gagaseng
Event PnL
+$386.96
Volume
$5,746.79
Positions
uralanuralan

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Kalmychata vs uralan (BO3) - European Pro League Group B"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,750% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 5,000% and Game Handicap: KALMY (-1.5) vs uralan (+1.5) at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $150.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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