Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

$226.2K Vol
Sep 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Inner Circle 100.0%
Kalmychata 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Game Handicap: ICxI (-1.5) vs Kalmychata (+1.5) sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $226.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $125.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Game Handicap: ICxI (-1.5) vs Kalmychata (+1.5) (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: ICxI (-1.5) vs Kalmychata (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (9,950%), Ends in Daytime (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Rampage are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$125.1K9995¢-9895¢
2Match Winner9995.0%$14.1K9995¢-9895¢
3Game Handicap: ICxI (-1.5) vs Kalmychata (+1.5)9995.0%$309995¢-9895¢
4Ends in Daytime9950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
5Ends in Daytime5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Rampage5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill4950.0%$104950¢-4850¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan4900.0%$104900¢-4800¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan950.0%$10950¢-850¢
11Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%$10950¢-850¢
12Any Player Rampage595.0%$10595¢-495¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks45.0%$1045¢55¢
14O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$8595¢
15Game Handicap: KALMY (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5)5.0%$2095¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Inner Circle and Kalmychata in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win the match against Kalmychata.

This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kalmychata win the match against Inner Circle.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 18, 2026

  • 11:53 AM
    0X0xf6ea559A4801BEC4ee7c409d34E0Ea3235C3d3d4-1779104843554
    $9.98

    Bought 15.836094 Kalmychata for Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.63

  • 09:28 AM
    TAtatkamatv78
    $14.81

    Bought 25.982455 Kalmychata for Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.57

  • 09:19 AM
    TAtatkamatv78
    $1.09

    Bought 1.912281 Kalmychata for Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.57

  • 09:12 AM
    0X0xB821914342F2beFe166ef0182911103b85E629d6-1783415012691
    $12.16

    Bought 21.33 Kalmychata for Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.57

  • 09:08 AM
    4T4TheWin2
    $5.70

    Bought 10 Kalmychata for Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.57

  • 09:03 AM
    NIniiotyo
    $6.39

    Bought 11.017242 Kalmychata for Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.58

  • 08:28 AM
    HAhannover88
    $50.15

    Bought 106.7078 Inner Circle for Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.47

  • 05:25 AM
    HAhannover88
    $100.46

    Bought 196.976079 Inner Circle for Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PO1
poshposh
Event PnL
+$1.40
Volume
$615.81
Positions
Kalmychata
AM2
ameisgoat11
Event PnL
+$196.08
Volume
$574.86
Positions
Inner Circle
383
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$155.64
Volume
$398.52
Positions
Kalmychata
E14
0xE1d3…5618
Event PnL
+$163.65
Volume
$390.21
Positions
Inner Circle
HA5
hannover88
Event PnL
+$100.54
Volume
$303.68
Positions
Inner Circle
SH6
SHLDota
Event PnL
-$148.49
Volume
$299.98
Positions
Kalmychata
CH7
chmaks
Event PnL
+$43.07
Volume
$294.63
Positions
Inner Circle
SY8
syn.
Event PnL
+$74.16
Volume
$277.08
Positions
Inner Circle

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Group B"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and Game Handicap: ICxI (-1.5) vs Kalmychata (+1.5) at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $226.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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