Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$301.3K Vol
Oct 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yellow Submarine 70.5%
HULIGANI 29.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, First Blood in Game 2? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,050% chance of winning. First Blood in Game 1? follows in second place at 950%, while Both Teams Beat Roshan sits in third with 950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $301.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • First Blood in Game 2? (9,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, First Blood in Game 2? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • First Blood in Game 1? (950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, First Blood in Game 1? maintains a 950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 950¢.
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (950%): Sitting in third place with a 950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Beat Roshan, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Ultra Kill (950%), and Any Player Rampage (950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Ultra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1First Blood in Game 2?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
2First Blood in Game 1?950.0%—950¢-850¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan950.0%—950¢-850¢
4Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
5Any Player Rampage950.0%—950¢-850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between HULIGANI and Yellow Submarine in the DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against Yellow Submarine.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against HULIGANI.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, First Blood in Game 2? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,050% win probability, followed by First Blood in Game 1? at 950% and Both Teams Beat Roshan at 950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $301.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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