Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

$612K Vol
Nov 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
HULIGANI 64.5%
LEGION 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $612K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $275.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,995%), Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? (9,995%), and Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? (9,995%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Match Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$275.2K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$3369995¢-9895¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
7Match Winner6600.0%$104.5K6600¢-6500¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?895.0%$5895¢-795¢
15Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)5.0%$465¢95¢
16Ends in Daytime5.0%—5¢95¢
17Both Teams Beat Roshan5.0%—5¢95¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks5.0%—5¢95¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill5.0%—5¢95¢
20Any Player Rampage5.0%—5¢95¢
21Game Handicap: LEGION (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)5.0%$1565¢95¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?5.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between HULIGANI and LEGION in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against LEGION.

This market will resolve to "LEGION" if LEGION win the match against HULIGANI.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 7, 2026

  • 01:46 PM
    SHSHLDota
    $37.10

    Sold 70 HULIGANI for Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.53

  • 01:46 PM
    0X0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
    $100.23

    Bought 204.547552 LEGION for Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.49

  • 01:46 PM
    0X0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
    $99.99

    Bought 199.976667 LEGION for Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.5

  • 01:46 PM
    MZmzkunz
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 LEGION for Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.49

  • 01:46 PM
    0X0x3eE1208770fF551d23cCF9da98179c641573F616-1769732372926
    $16.28

    Bought 31.307693 HULIGANI for Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.52

  • 01:46 PM
    0X0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
    $1,009.28

    Bought 2059.762265 LEGION for Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.49

  • 01:46 PM
    BIbinanceenjoyer
    $58.90

    Bought 111.13 HULIGANI for Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.53

  • 01:46 PM
    0X0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
    $100.21

    Bought 196.488847 LEGION for Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.51

  • 01:45 PM
    COcopytraiding
    $30.01

    Bought 56.614529 HULIGANI for Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.53

  • 01:45 PM
    0X0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
    $100.42

    Bought 189.465095 LEGION for Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.53

  • 01:45 PM
    JSjserver370
    $24.90

    Bought 49.8 HULIGANI for Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.5

  • 01:45 PM
    0X0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
    $23.55

    Bought 46.18 LEGION for Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

LO1
lonmi2511
Event PnL
-$7,075.32
Volume
$26,046.92
Positions
LEGION
YA2
yadens
Event PnL
+$1,231.24
Volume
$24,812.34
Positions
HULIGANI
E23
0xe2D0…6239
Event PnL
+$7,183.35
Volume
$23,551.97
Positions
HULIGANI
SU4
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
-$10,224.09
Volume
$22,857.80
Positions
LEGION
PV5
pvc975
Event PnL
+$17.13
Volume
$21,246.29
Positions
HULIGANI
MA6
madar78
Event PnL
-$567.09
Volume
$19,538.15
Positions
LEGION
E17
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
+$7,188.55
Volume
$16,456.48
Positions
HULIGANIHULIGANI
SU8
suntori
Event PnL
+$285.73
Volume
$14,657.65
Positions
HULIGANIHULIGANI

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $612K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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