Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

$795.8K Vol
Sep 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Pipsqueak+4 51.5%
GamerLegion 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Ends in Daytime sits in third with 9,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $795.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $470.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Ends in Daytime (9,850%): Sitting in third place with a 9,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Ends in Daytime, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%), Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%), and Any Player Rampage (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Ends in Daytime are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$470.5K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$4969995¢-9895¢
3Ends in Daytime9850.0%9850¢-9750¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Match Winner4850.0%$88.7K4850¢-4750¢
14Both Teams Destroy Barracks150.0%150¢-50¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?150.0%150¢-50¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?150.0%150¢-50¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?150.0%150¢-50¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?150.0%150¢-50¢
19Game Handicap: PIPS+4 (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)50.0%$43450¢50¢
20Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)50.0%50¢50¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between GamerLegion and Pipsqueak+4 in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Pipsqueak+4.

This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win the match against GamerLegion.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

E11
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
+$294.20
Volume
$25,761.21
Positions
Pipsqueak+4Pipsqueak+4
VI2
vibing123
Event PnL
-$105.41
Volume
$7,027.69
Positions
GamerLegion
MA3
MaoZeDonK
Event PnL
-$162.49
Volume
$6,500.00
Positions
GamerLegion
DR4
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
-$75.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
GamerLegion
FO5
forsenxd
Event PnL
+$7.10
Volume
$4,243.03
Positions
GamerLegionGamerLegion
GA6
GaoJin-GamblingGod
Event PnL
+$12.61
Volume
$2,522.59
Positions
GamerLegion
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$8.41
Volume
$1,682.46
Positions
GamerLegionGamerLegion
DA8
daymo95
Event PnL
+$11.76
Volume
$1,313.45
Positions
Pipsqueak+4

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Ends in Daytime at 9,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $795.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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