Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

$1.1M Vol
Sep 25, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
GamerLegion 57.5%
1win 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 6,350%, while Match Winner sits in third with 5,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.1M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $830.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (6,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 6,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,350¢.
  • Match Winner (5,650%): Sitting in third place with a 5,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (5,000%), Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Ultra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$830.8K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games6350.0%$3.2K6350¢-6250¢
3Match Winner5650.0%$249.4K5650¢-5550¢
4Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Game 2 Winner3650.0%$31.1K3650¢-3550¢
19Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)3600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
20Both Teams Beat Roshan50.0%—50¢50¢
21Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%—50¢50¢
22Any Player Rampage50.0%—50¢50¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50.0%—50¢50¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50.0%—50¢50¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?50.0%—50¢50¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50.0%—50¢50¢
27Ends in Daytime45.0%—45¢55¢
28Both Teams Destroy Barracks45.0%—45¢55¢
29Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)5.0%$26.8K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Round 1 match between GamerLegion and 1win in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against 1win.

This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against GamerLegion.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 25, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SI1
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
-$47.85
Volume
$11,070.92
Positions
GamerLegion
ST2
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$6.11
Volume
$10,352.10
Positions
1win
KE3
keris7
Event PnL
+$13.23
Volume
$2,496.80
Positions
1win1win
TR4
TrippleEX
Event PnL
+$8.70
Volume
$2,315.10
Positions
GamerLegion
UD5
udysof
Event PnL
-$18.40
Volume
$1,679.98
Positions
GamerLegionGamerLegion
GB6
gbby123
Event PnL
-$38.80
Volume
$1,551.99
Positions
GamerLegion
VI7
vibing123
Event PnL
+$6.98
Volume
$1,400.77
Positions
GamerLegion
EG8
Egorkasxx
Event PnL
+$31.09
Volume
$1,243.52
Positions
1win

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 6,350% and Match Winner at 5,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.1M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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