Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A

$835.6K Vol
Nov 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
CyberHero 100.0%
Froglings 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 2.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Ends in Daytime follows in second place at 9,995%, while Both Teams Beat Roshan sits in third with 1,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $835.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $80 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Ends in Daytime (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Ends in Daytime maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (1,000%): Sitting in third place with a 1,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Beat Roshan, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Barracks (1,000%), Any Player Ultra Kill (1,000%), and Any Player Rampage (1,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Match Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$809995¢-9895¢
2Ends in Daytime9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
4Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
5Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
6Any Player Rampage1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
7Match Winner5.0%$277.4K5¢95¢
8Game Handicap: CH (-1.5) vs Froglings (+1.5)5.0%$3655¢95¢
9Game Handicap: Froglings (-1.5) vs CyberHero (+1.5)5.0%$135¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Froglings and CyberHero in the 1win Essence Play-in Group A, initially scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Froglings" if Froglings win the match against CyberHero.

This market will resolve to "CyberHero" if CyberHero win the match against Froglings.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 11, 2026

  • 01:03 PM
    ——
    $116.17

    Bought 237.081633 Froglings for Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner at 0.49

  • 01:03 PM
    LALAOHEI
    $25.60

    Bought 50.2 CyberHero for Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner at 0.51

  • 12:59 PM
    0X0x9560B2753dFFA911dC79bE97a65D59DD9Fc9b831-1784869357945
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Froglings for Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A at 0.48

  • 12:59 PM
    0X0x9560B2753dFFA911dC79bE97a65D59DD9Fc9b831-1784869357945
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Froglings for Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A at 0.48

  • 12:59 PM
    0X0x9560B2753dFFA911dC79bE97a65D59DD9Fc9b831-1784869357945
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Froglings for Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A at 0.48

  • 12:59 PM
    0X0x9560B2753dFFA911dC79bE97a65D59DD9Fc9b831-1784869357945
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Froglings for Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A at 0.48

  • 12:58 PM
    YIyishiwucheng
    $190.79

    Bought 374.09 CyberHero for Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A at 0.51

  • 12:58 PM
    NEneyk65
    $13.05

    Bought 25.588236 CyberHero for Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A at 0.51

  • 12:58 PM
    PEpendu2
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Froglings for Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A at 0.5

  • 12:58 PM
    JUJuiceFarm
    $372.63

    Bought 776.32 Froglings for Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A at 0.48

  • 12:56 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.55

    Bought 9.893618 Froglings for Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A at 0.46

  • 12:49 PM
    0X0x9332506cf9094860D30047103bf7Fe7F02A1A3db-1771083194908
    $10.00

    Bought 20.408164 Froglings for Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

E11
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
+$18,203.37
Volume
$59,989.76
Positions
FroglingsCyberHero
GE2
GeorgeRe
Event PnL
-$11,781.45
Volume
$33,848.95
Positions
FroglingsCyberHero
F33
0xf3ce…a57a
Event PnL
+$2,466.12
Volume
$26,952.64
Positions
Froglings
ME4
Medo3D
Event PnL
+$16,274.85
Volume
$26,265.44
Positions
CyberHero
EZ5
ezMerge
Event PnL
+$12.41
Volume
$24,825.94
Positions
CyberHero
CY6
CyberScore.live
Event PnL
-$2,808.93
Volume
$23,803.44
Positions
CyberHero
SK7
Skritopoolniy
Event PnL
+$7,629.35
Volume
$22,934.02
Positions
CyberHeroCyberHero
RA8
RandomVibecoder
Event PnL
+$7,113.79
Volume
$15,112.85
Positions
CyberHeroCyberHero

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A"?

As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Ends in Daytime at 9,995% and Both Teams Beat Roshan at 1,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $835.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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