Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

$886K Vol
Sep 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Conventus Stellarum 82.5%
PlayTime 17.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 2.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 9,955%, while Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? sits in third with 9,955%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $886K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $570 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,955%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? maintains a 9,955% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,955¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,955%): Sitting in third place with a 9,955% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? (9,955%), Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? (9,955%), and Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? (9,955%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$5709995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9955.0%$169955¢-9855¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9955.0%$209955¢-9855¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?9955.0%$209955¢-9855¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?9955.0%$209955¢-9855¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?9955.0%$209955¢-9855¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?9950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
8Ends in Daytime9850.0%$59850¢-9750¢
9Both Teams Destroy Barracks9850.0%9850¢-9750¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?9850.0%$209850¢-9750¢
11Match Winner7650.0%$119.9K7650¢-7550¢
12Ends in Daytime5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Beat Roshan950.0%950¢-850¢
18Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
19Any Player Rampage950.0%950¢-850¢
20First Blood in Game 2?950.0%950¢-850¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 2?50.0%$2050¢50¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?45.0%$2045¢55¢
23Game 2 Winner5.0%$590.2K95¢
24Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)5.0%$2.3K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Conventus Stellarum and PlayTime in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Conventus Stellarum" if Conventus Stellarum win the match against PlayTime.

This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against Conventus Stellarum.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:19 AM
    YIyishiwucheng
    $6.60

    Bought 10.47 Conventus Stellarum for Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) at 0.63

  • 11:11 AM
    YIyishiwucheng
    $41.08

    Bought 93.37 PlayTime for Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 11:11 AM
    YIyishiwucheng
    $56.85

    Bought 132.21 PlayTime for Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 11:11 AM
    AMameisgoat11
    $26.40

    Bought 60 PlayTime for Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 11:10 AM
    AJAJSV
    $2.70

    Bought 5 Conventus Stellarum for Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) at 0.54

  • 11:07 AM
    0X0x18632a9F6AC2e4bdddE3760A007153a345396174-1765263980415
    $11.20

    Bought 20 Conventus Stellarum for Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 11:00 AM
    CAcashshet
    $24.26

    Bought 44.109091 Conventus Stellarum for Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) at 0.55

  • 10:57 AM
    TEteewley
    $2.00

    Bought 8.695653 PlayTime for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.23

  • 10:57 AM
    YIyishiwucheng
    $2,730.00

    Bought 3500 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.78

  • 10:56 AM
    YIyishiwucheng
    $2,730.00

    Bought 3500 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.78

  • 10:56 AM
    YIyishiwucheng
    $2,730.00

    Bought 3500 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.78

  • 10:56 AM
    YIyishiwucheng
    $2,730.00

    Bought 3500 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.78

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GB1
gbby123
Event PnL
+$21.15
Volume
$2,308.49
Positions
PlayTime
FO2
forsenxd
Event PnL
+$13.40
Volume
$2,115.26
Positions
Conventus StellarumConventus StellarumPlayTime
AN3
antec
Event PnL
-$4.70
Volume
$834.63
Positions
Conventus StellarumPlayTimeConventus Stellarum+1
NI4
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$16.76
Volume
$557.00
Positions
PlayTimePlayTime
DA5
darkumbreon88
Event PnL
-$6.00
Volume
$400.06
Positions
Conventus Stellarum
596
0x591d…4396
Event PnL
-$1.75
Volume
$350.88
Positions
Conventus Stellarum
SH7
SHLDota
Event PnL
-$6.00
Volume
$300.00
Positions
Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum
668
0x6628…5347
Event PnL
+$2.34
Volume
$260.17
Positions
PlayTimePlayTime

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? at 9,955% and Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? at 9,955%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $886K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started