Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

$665.1K Vol
Nov 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
GamerLegion 63.5%
Aurora 36.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,250% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 5,250%, while Ends in Daytime sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $665.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (5,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $266.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
  • Ends in Daytime (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Ends in Daytime, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%), Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%), and Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Rampage are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner5250.0%$266.0K5250¢-5150¢
2O/U 2.5 Games5250.0%$2735250¢-5150¢
3Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)4700.0%$414700¢-4600¢
17Match Winner3250.0%$74.9K3250¢-3150¢
18Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)5.0%$12.7K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and GamerLegion in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against GamerLegion.

This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Aurora.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 12, 2026

  • 01:01 PM
    MLMlweirBewsc
    $57.80

    Bought 85 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.68

  • 01:01 PM
    MEmelody1223
    $10.00

    Bought 28.571429 GamerLegion for Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.35

  • 01:00 PM
    JIJimmyman132
    $10.50

    Bought 30 GamerLegion for Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.35

  • 12:59 PM
    ICiceblue-
    $973.28

    Bought 2212 Aurora for Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 12:57 PM
    0X0x73A42dE112F1105A31DDaea93f8B9D8ae9746692-1774627936100
    $2.00

    Bought 2.739725 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.73

  • 12:57 PM
    0X0x5Aa1944787e24596f841fA34B075c250b4992C8A-1771011996098
    $4.32

    Bought 6 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.72

  • 12:57 PM
    VIvip190666
    $311.92

    Bought 1114 GamerLegion for Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.28

  • 12:57 PM
    0X0x73A42dE112F1105A31DDaea93f8B9D8ae9746692-1774627936100
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272728 Aurora for Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 12:56 PM
    DOdonkplay
    $8.28

    Bought 23 GamerLegion for Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.36

  • 12:56 PM
    MTmtp909
    $5.04

    Bought 14 GamerLegion for Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.36

  • 12:56 PM
    DOdonkplay
    $267.21

    Bought 742.25 GamerLegion for Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.36

  • 12:55 PM
    FEfengshengshuiqi88
    $848.15

    Bought 1177.99 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.72

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
NiK0k0k0k
Event PnL
+$115.96
Volume
$9,593.05
Positions
AuroraAuroraAurora
SD2
sdfgdfgasdfasdf1
Event PnL
-$73.57
Volume
$6,504.82
Positions
GamerLegionGamerLegionGamerLegion
BI3
biying99999
Event PnL
-$76.01
Volume
$5,109.21
Positions
GamerLegion
IC4
iceblue-
Event PnL
+$10.00
Volume
$3,212.00
Positions
Aurora
JU5
JuiceFarm
Event PnL
-$5.10
Volume
$3,210.00
Positions
GamerLegionGamerLegion
9E6
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$43.19
Volume
$3,126.69
Positions
AuroraAurora
EB7
EbatorVagin228
Event PnL
+$18.93
Volume
$3,022.00
Positions
GamerLegion
FE8
fengshengshuiqi88
Event PnL
-$32.65
Volume
$2,177.00
Positions
Aurora

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,250% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 5,250% and Ends in Daytime at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $665.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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