Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

$230.8K Vol
Nov 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Aurora 86.5%
CyberHero 13.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,850% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 5,700%, while Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs CyberHero (+1.5) sits in third with 5,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $230.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (8,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $13.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (5,700%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 5,700% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,700¢.
  • Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs CyberHero (+1.5) (5,700%): Sitting in third place with a 5,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs CyberHero (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (5,000%), Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Ultra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner8850.0%$13.7K8850¢-8750¢
2Game 2 Winner5700.0%$9.1K5700¢-5600¢
3Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs CyberHero (+1.5)5700.0%$8.2K5700¢-5600¢
4Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14O/U 2.5 Games4200.0%$3694200¢-4100¢
15Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
17Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
18Any Player Rampage1000.0%—1000¢-900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and CyberHero in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against CyberHero.

This market will resolve to "CyberHero" if CyberHero win the match against Aurora.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 14, 2026

  • 12:07 PM
    CHchaeri
    $46.62

    Bought 333 CyberHero for Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.14

  • 12:07 PM
    KVKvazarr
    $344.66

    Bought 400.77 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.86

  • 10:59 AM
    MAMartin1027
    $4.67

    Sold 33.33 CyberHero for Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.14

  • 10:41 AM
    3838791873984189
    $17.49

    Bought 116.6 CyberHero for Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.15

  • 10:39 AM
    PIpinkmanapipka
    $103.75

    Bought 157.2 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.66

  • 10:05 AM
    MAMartin1027
    $5.00

    Bought 33.333334 CyberHero for Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.15

  • 08:56 AM
    MAMartin1027
    $4.38

    Sold 31.25 CyberHero for Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.14

  • 08:50 AM
    4.4.man.4t
    $6.30

    Bought 7.325578 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.86

  • 08:47 AM
    THthatsabing0
    $5.87

    Bought 6.825578 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.86

  • 07:17 AM
    MAMartin1027
    $5.00

    Bought 31.25 CyberHero for Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B at 0.16

  • 04:40 AM
    COcovamx
    $82.85

    Bought 104.87 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner at 0.79

  • 04:39 AM
    COcovamx
    $128.49

    Bought 164.73 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner at 0.78

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

E11
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
-$2,876.98
Volume
$52,111.77
Positions
CyberHeroCyberHeroCyberHero
SC2
Scrip-scrip
Event PnL
-$2,850.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
AuroraCyberHero
UN3
UNIVERSEMVP
Event PnL
+$1,847.63
Volume
$18,476.52
Positions
Aurora
GE4
GeorgeRe
Event PnL
-$739.26
Volume
$13,028.06
Positions
Aurora
GX5
gxxyy
Event PnL
-$340.29
Volume
$11,840.05
Positions
Aurora
646
0x6453…8115
Event PnL
+$1,242.19
Volume
$9,933.78
Positions
AuroraCyberHero
TO7
Tolkonevminus2
Event PnL
+$20.14
Volume
$9,895.09
Positions
Aurora
KA8
KaguyaNg
Event PnL
+$995.35
Volume
$9,814.11
Positions
CyberHero

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Aurora vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,850% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 5,700% and Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs CyberHero (+1.5) at 5,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $230.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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