Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

$1.4M Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
1win 55.5%
OG 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Ends in Daytime sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.4M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $338.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Ends in Daytime (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Ends in Daytime, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (9,950%), Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? (9,950%), and Match Winner (5,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Beat Roshan are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$338.4K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$7289995¢-9895¢
3Ends in Daytime9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
4Ends in Daytime9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
6Match Winner5950.0%$201.3K5950¢-5850¢
7Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%—50¢50¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%—50¢50¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?50.0%—50¢50¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50.0%—50¢50¢
21Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)50.0%$27450¢50¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50.0%—50¢50¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50.0%—50¢50¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50.0%—50¢50¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50.0%—50¢50¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?45.0%—45¢55¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?45.0%—45¢55¢
28Game 1 Winner5.0%$853.7K5¢95¢
29Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)5.0%$9.8K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Last Chance match between 1win and OG in the BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against OG.

This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against 1win.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 01:10 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 6 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.5

  • 01:02 PM
    0X0x9D39bCDc1CF42d9D0e0623527c75A023b8bd5408-1787431926597
    $256.00

    Bought 400 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier at 0.64

  • 01:02 PM
    0X0x84AbdB5344A9c67aeD852d75Ad308AFEEC10eEFd-1772931226118
    $6.00

    Bought 16.216217 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier at 0.37

  • 12:52 PM
    ——
    $7.21

    Bought 11.26 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier at 0.64

  • 12:52 PM
    OWowvyby1d35ui
    $8.00

    Bought 12.5 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier at 0.64

  • 12:52 PM
    LAlastwing
    $406.54

    Bought 1098.756757 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier at 0.37

  • 12:45 PM
    DVdvc2000000
    $4.00

    Bought 10.810811 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier at 0.37

  • 12:40 PM
    BABaheadeS2
    $80.00

    Bought 216.216217 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier at 0.37

  • 12:32 PM
    COContexx
    $67.00

    Bought 181.09 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier at 0.37

  • 12:32 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier at 0.64

  • 12:31 PM
    MAMaiconp0309
    $57.00

    Bought 154.054055 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier at 0.37

  • 12:31 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier at 0.64

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

E11
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
-$31,799.15
Volume
$88,522.51
Positions
1win1win1win
F22
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
+$33,700.07
Volume
$59,574.82
Positions
OGOG
BI3
Birdof
Event PnL
+$31.82
Volume
$42,034.50
Positions
OG
SU4
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
+$18,803.28
Volume
$34,260.74
Positions
OG
E25
0xe2D0…6239
Event PnL
+$6,955.15
Volume
$29,595.99
Positions
OG
CY6
CyberScore.live
Event PnL
+$13,344.88
Volume
$28,301.87
Positions
OG
0F7
0x0FDb…3107
Event PnL
-$4,698.78
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
1win
DO8
dodsterbot
Event PnL
-$9,069.14
Volume
$19,706.09
Positions
1win

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Ends in Daytime at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.4M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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