Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B

$113.3K Vol
Sep 29, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
1win 50.5%
Natus Vincere 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Ends in Daytime follows in second place at 5,000%, while Both Teams Beat Roshan sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $113.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $104.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Ends in Daytime (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Ends in Daytime maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Beat Roshan, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%), Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%), and Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Barracks are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner5050.0%$104.0K5050¢-4950¢
2Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Game 1 Winner4950.0%$5024950¢-4850¢
16O/U 2.5 Games4950.0%$144950¢-4850¢
17Any Player Rampage4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
18Ends in Daytime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
19Any Player Rampage4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
20Both Teams Beat Roshan4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
21Game 2 Winner4850.0%$384850¢-4750¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?3950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?3850.0%$6.9K3850¢-3750¢
24Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)2650.0%$1.9K2650¢-2550¢
25Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)2550.0%$12550¢-2450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between 1win and Natus Vincere in the BLAST Slam Group B, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against Natus Vincere.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against 1win.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 29, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 28, 2026

  • 09:37 PM
    UNunkwnn
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.5

  • 09:35 PM
    MOmokkey
    $121.00

    Bought 275 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B at 0.44

  • 09:25 PM
    XExerrenvs
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363637 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B at 0.44

  • 07:35 PM
    KUkuwapt
    $6.91

    Bought 15.704546 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B at 0.44

  • 07:35 PM
    COcoconutik
    $5.00

    Bought 8.77193 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B at 0.57

  • 07:04 PM
    MOmokkey
    $80.20

    Bought 170.638298 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner at 0.47

  • 06:35 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363637 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B at 0.44

  • 05:40 PM
    LELeslielin
    $225.85

    Bought 513.29 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B at 0.44

  • 05:22 PM
    -G-Guapo--
    $110.88

    Bought 252 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B at 0.44

  • 05:18 PM
    KUkuwapt
    $3.65

    Bought 8.295455 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B at 0.44

  • 05:18 PM
    GOGOODFOODPOGGIES
    $9.16

    Bought 16.07 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B at 0.57

  • 04:44 PM
    KOkoxma1
    $4.84

    Bought 11 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B at 0.44

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SO1
Sodoo
Event PnL
+$53.03
Volume
$30,966.65
Positions
1win
NO2
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$125.29
Volume
$11,479.73
Positions
Natus Vincere
TR3
TrippleEX
Event PnL
-$449.99
Volume
$9,999.82
Positions
Natus Vincere
FO4
forsenxd
Event PnL
+$51.94
Volume
$7,036.24
Positions
Natus Vincere1win1win
SU5
suntori
Event PnL
+$21.47
Volume
$6,374.77
Positions
1winNatus Vincere
SP6
spartachio
Event PnL
+$15.45
Volume
$3,090.00
Positions
Natus Vincere
LO7
loldot
Event PnL
-$9.82
Volume
$1,964.00
Positions
Natus Vincere
OM8
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
-$56.29
Volume
$1,608.44
Positions
Natus Vincere

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Ends in Daytime at 5,000% and Both Teams Beat Roshan at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $113.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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