Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF

$96.2K Vol
Sep 18, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
No 56.5%
Yes 43.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Lyngby BK is dominating the market with an overwhelming 51.5% chance of winning. Silkeborg IF follows in second place at 25.5%, while Draw (Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF) sits in third with 23.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $96.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Lyngby BK (51.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Lyngby BK is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 52¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $39.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Silkeborg IF (25.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Silkeborg IF maintains a 25.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 26¢.
  • Draw (Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF) (23.5%): Sitting in third place with a 23.5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Draw (Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Lyngby BK51.5%$39.1K52¢49¢
2Silkeborg IF25.5%$50.5K26¢75¢
3Draw (Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF)23.5%$6.7K24¢77¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming Denmark Superliga game, scheduled for Friday, September 18, 2026 between Lyngby BK and Silkeborg IF.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Silkeborg IF currently trades at 25.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 23.4%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -2.1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Draw (Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF) as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 23.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 24.8% — yielding an impressive +1.3% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Lyngby BK51.5%52.0%+0.5%
Silkeborg IF25.5%23.4%-2.1%
Draw (Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF)Best EV23.5%24.8%+1.3%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 18, 2026

  • 08:57 PM
    KIkishkatonka777
    $23.36

    Sold 23.36 No for Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-09-18? at 1

  • 08:52 PM
    $169.15

    Sold 169.15 Yes for Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-09-18? at 1

  • 08:07 PM
    FUFugger12345
    $14.17

    Sold 14.17 Yes for Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-09-18? at 1

  • 07:35 PM
    282829
    $206.63

    Sold 206.63 No for Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-09-18? at 1

  • 07:30 PM
    0X0x8FEAA7D8D6529D2fc6e6FA1D6bF470cF4c958F7
    $22.72

    Sold 22.72 Yes for Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-09-18? at 1

  • 07:11 PM
    OMOmidsl
    $52.40

    Sold 52.4 Yes for Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-09-18? at 1

  • 07:11 PM
    EDEdum3tamsk
    $183.54

    Sold 183.54 Yes for Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-09-18? at 1

  • 07:04 PM
    KAkantesher
    $44.56

    Sold 44.56 No for Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-09-18? at 1

  • 07:04 PM
    LALaurentDamas
    $2.27

    Sold 2.27 Yes for Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-09-18? at 1

  • 07:03 PM
    $2.53

    Sold 2.53 No for Will Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF end in a draw? at 1

  • 07:02 PM
    VRvRuK9z0ewFft2ENUWxXsBF711tPMJQYoD9wVYz5RVa
    $1.42

    Sold 1.42 No for Will Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF end in a draw? at 1

  • 06:58 PM
    NEnemnogobistree
    $30.30

    Sold 30.3 Yes for Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-09-18? at 1

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CR1
crisp1973
Event PnL
+$21.78
Volume
$4,353.35
Positions
Yes
MO2
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$20.91
Volume
$3,175.46
Positions
NoYes
UP3
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$42.84
Volume
$3,044.98
Positions
NoNoNo
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$6.42
Volume
$2,823.74
Positions
NoNo
US5
us391
Event PnL
-$0.34
Volume
$2,746.93
Positions
No
KN6
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
+$16.43
Volume
$2,663.99
Positions
NoYes
GC7
GC-P
Event PnL
+$3.00
Volume
$2,199.94
Positions
NoYes
E18
0xe1e2…6687
Event PnL
+$10.29
Volume
$2,058.00
Positions
Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF"?

As of the latest update, Lyngby BK leads the field as the frontrunner with a 51.5% win probability, followed by Silkeborg IF at 25.5% and Draw (Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF) at 23.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $96.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Draw (Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF) as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 23.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 24.8% — an Expected Value gap of +1.3%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Silkeborg IF. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 25.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 23.4%, a negative EV Gap of -2.1% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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