Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Nordic Valor (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Group Stage

$581 Vol
Nov 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
SINQU 55.5%
Nordic Valor 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Nordic Valor (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,550% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 5,000%, while Map Handicap: SINQU (-1.5) vs Nordic Valor (+1.5) sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $581, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 2 Winner (5,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Map Handicap: SINQU (-1.5) vs Nordic Valor (+1.5) (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map Handicap: SINQU (-1.5) vs Nordic Valor (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%), Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%), and Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 2 Winner5550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
2O/U 2.5 Games5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Map Handicap: SINQU (-1.5) vs Nordic Valor (+1.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SINQU (-3.5) vs Nordic Valor (+3.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Match Winner3350.0%$5813350¢-3250¢
10Map 1 Winner3150.0%—3150¢-3050¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SINQU and Nordic Valor in the Elisa Open Suomi Group Stage, initially scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "SINQU" if SINQU win the match against Nordic Valor.

This market will resolve to "Nordic Valor" if Nordic Valor win the match against SINQU.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 9, 2026

  • 11:26 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 3.448276 SINQU for Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Nordic Valor (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Group Stage at 0.58

  • 11:25 AM
    ——
    $4.64

    Bought 8 SINQU for Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Nordic Valor (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Group Stage at 0.58

Nov 7, 2026

  • 05:16 PM
    MImimimiikka
    $99.66

    Bought 168.919832 SINQU for Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Nordic Valor (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Group Stage at 0.59

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MI1
mimimiikka
Event PnL
-$6.25
Volume
$168.92
Positions
SINQU
382
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$5.24
Volume
$138.73
Positions
Nordic Valor
DE3
de4th.to.russian.invaders
Event PnL
+$0.46
Volume
$13.00
Positions
Nordic Valor
B84
0xB8B9…4308
Event PnL
+$0.43
Volume
$12.19
Positions
Nordic Valor
RA5
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
+$0.13
Volume
$5.00
Positions
Nordic Valor

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Nordic Valor (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Map 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,550% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 5,000% and Map Handicap: SINQU (-1.5) vs Nordic Valor (+1.5) at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $581, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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