Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

$397.5K Vol
Sep 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
NIP 51.5%
Sinners 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 2.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) follows in second place at 9,995%, while Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $397.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%), Match Winner (3,050%), and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (1,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$2.7K9995¢-9895¢
2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)9995.0%$99995¢-9895¢
3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Match Winner3050.0%$247.6K3050¢-2950¢
6Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
7Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
8Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs Sinners (+6.5)1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
9Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)50.0%$90850¢50¢
10Map 2 Winner5.0%$59.4K5¢95¢
11Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)5.0%$1.8K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between Sinners and NIP in the 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win the match against NIP.

This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Sinners.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 26, 2026

  • 12:04 PM
    MRMrNicotine
    $1.04

    Bought 2.536586 Sinners for Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.41

  • 12:04 PM
    RERealTraderx
    $25.00

    Bought 41.666667 NIP for Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.6

  • 12:01 PM
    GRgregor2
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666667 NIP for Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.6

  • 12:01 PM
    BOBOB6633
    $2.05

    Bought 5 Sinners for Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.41

  • 12:01 PM
    RORom1lus
    $16.00

    Bought 26.666667 NIP for Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.6

  • 11:55 AM
    0X0xe315130229DcF148e87555a6722BAF8770Dd3911-1769357511469
    $4.80

    Bought 8.727273 NIP for Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP - Map 1 Winner at 0.55

  • 11:51 AM
    KOKomb
    $1.00

    Bought 2.439025 Sinners for Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.41

  • 11:47 AM
    0X0x943875922cdd46DBaEAa721B601e279Dfa9FE019-1776974860474
    $205.00

    Bought 500 Sinners for Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.41

  • 11:46 AM
    KOKomb
    $1.00

    Bought 2.439025 Sinners for Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.41

  • 11:44 AM
    BOBOB6633
    $2.15

    Bought 5.25 Sinners for Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.41

  • 11:44 AM
    CScsgod
    $377.00

    Bought 628.333332 NIP for Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.6

  • 11:41 AM
    LTlthasd
    $60.00

    Bought 100 NIP for Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.6

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

LL1
lllllllIlll
Event PnL
+$107.15
Volume
$51,650.71
Positions
NIP
RN2
RN1
Event PnL
-$9,222.18
Volume
$45,627.41
Positions
SinnersSinnersOver+1
BE3
BettingMonster
Event PnL
+$4,826.38
Volume
$39,826.53
Positions
NIP
II4
iii252
Event PnL
-$1,195.44
Volume
$29,596.46
Positions
SinnersNIP
295
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
+$460.44
Volume
$29,056.65
Positions
NIP
AA6
aaaa298
Event PnL
+$249.39
Volume
$28,900.69
Positions
NIPSinners
A07
0xA0b8…6eB4
Event PnL
-$172.83
Volume
$24,857.07
Positions
Sinners
CO8
CORGI777
Event PnL
-$115.00
Volume
$23,000.00
Positions
Sinners

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) at 9,995% and Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $397.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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