
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, O/U 2.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 2 Winner follows in second place at 5%, while Match Winner sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $125.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $20 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Map 2 Winner (5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 2 Winner maintains a 5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5¢.
- Match Winner (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 2.5 Games | 9995.0% | $20 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 5.0% | $23.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 3 | Match Winner | 5.0% | $84.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 2 match between Rare Atom and Vitalem Aerem in the ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Rare Atom" if Rare Atom win the match against Vitalem Aerem.
This market will resolve to "Vitalem Aerem" if Vitalem Aerem win the match against Rare Atom.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 9, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 9, 2026
- 02:10 PMGOGOD-BLESS-NATURAL$98.67
Bought 140.95875 Rare Atom for Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 Winner at 0.7
- 02:10 PM0X0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f$6.80
Bought 10 Rare Atom for Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 Winner at 0.68
- 02:10 PMDAdabossrealman$21.00
Sold 30 Rare Atom for Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 Winner at 0.7
- 02:10 PMDAdabossrealman$5.56
Sold 8.18 Rare Atom for Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 Winner at 0.68
- 02:10 PMDAdabossrealman$3.40
Sold 5 Rare Atom for Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 Winner at 0.68
- 02:10 PMDAdabossrealman$13.40
Sold 20 Rare Atom for Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 Winner at 0.67
- 02:10 PMDAdabossrealman$40.02
Sold 58 Rare Atom for Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 Winner at 0.69
- 02:10 PMUHuhcccccccccccc$11.40
Bought 20 Rare Atom for Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 Winner at 0.57
- 02:10 PMDSdsknadkasnkfjs$2.94
Bought 7 Vitalem Aerem for Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 Winner at 0.42
- 02:09 PMUHuhcccccccccccc$27.81
Bought 53.48 Rare Atom for Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 Winner at 0.52
- 02:09 PM0X0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f$5.00
Bought 10 Rare Atom for Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 Winner at 0.5
- 02:09 PM0X0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f$25.00
Bought 50 Rare Atom for Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 Winner at 0.5
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 2 Winner at 5% and Match Winner at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $125.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
