Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs

$270.2K Vol
Sep 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Misa Esports 87.3%
QUAZAR 12.7%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5) sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $270.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $9.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5) (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs Misa Esports (+6.5) (9,995%), Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-9.5) vs Misa Esports (+9.5) (9,995%), and Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5) (9,995%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-6.5) vs QUAZAR (+6.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 1 Winner9995.0%$9.6K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$9609995¢-9895¢
3Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
4Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs Misa Esports (+6.5)9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
5Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-9.5) vs Misa Esports (+9.5)9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
6Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
7Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-6.5) vs QUAZAR (+6.5)9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
8Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-6.5) vs QUAZAR (+6.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-9.5) vs QUAZAR (+9.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-12.5) vs QUAZAR (+12.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Match Winner660.0%$221.2K660¢-560¢
17Map 2 Winner5.0%$33.2K95¢
18Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)5.0%$11.6K95¢
19Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)5.0%95¢
20Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55.0%95¢
21Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55.0%95¢
22Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55.0%95¢
23Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55.0%95¢
24Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-12.5) vs Misa Esports (+12.5)5.0%95¢
25Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs Misa Esports (+6.5)5.0%95¢
26Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55.0%95¢
27Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55.0%95¢
28Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-9.5) vs QUAZAR (+9.5)5.0%95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 16 match between QUAZAR and Misa Esports in the European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "QUAZAR" if QUAZAR win the match against Misa Esports.

This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win the match against QUAZAR.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 23, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 23, 2026

  • 10:50 AM
    SRSreem
    $100.07

    Bought 112.437009 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs at 0.89

  • 10:50 AM
    RERev0lt3
    $6.93

    Bought 7.786509 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs at 0.89

  • 10:50 AM
    TOTommyLeePeeca
    $256.48

    Sold 288.18 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs at 0.89

  • 10:50 AM
    TOTommyLeePeeca
    $57.78

    Bought 577.77 QUAZAR for Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs at 0.1

  • 10:49 AM
    RERev0lt3
    $9.63

    Bought 10.354828 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs at 0.93

  • 10:49 AM
    SISimox
    $2.50

    Bought 31.25 QUAZAR for Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs at 0.08

  • 10:49 AM
    RERev0lt3
    $27.98

    Bought 30.082422 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs at 0.93

  • 10:49 AM
    0X0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
    $56.01

    Bought 60.226534 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs at 0.93

  • 10:48 AM
    0X0xbef95f3bc965bfc8b2088f94e11301ae2f8c4595-1788422749934
    $53.16

    Sold 53.16 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner at 1

  • 10:48 AM
    RARapso
    $0.52

    Sold 6.46 QUAZAR for Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs at 0.08

  • 10:48 AM
    AYaymenmmadni
    $5.59

    Bought 5.9468 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs at 0.94

  • 10:47 AM
    DEDennyZhao
    $9.50

    Bought 10 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs at 0.95

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

001
00002
Event PnL
+$7,308.27
Volume
$16,472.94
Positions
Misa Esports
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$3,088.19
Volume
$11,290.12
Positions
QUAZARUnderMisa Esports
TA3
tamakuchi
Event PnL
+$3,882.70
Volume
$9,974.92
Positions
Misa EsportsMisa Esports
CI4
cigarettes
Event PnL
-$3,606.50
Volume
$8,729.78
Positions
QUAZAR
645
0x6407…6364
Event PnL
-$2,930.29
Volume
$6,673.57
Positions
QUAZARMisa EsportsMisa Esports+1
NO6
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$3,764.09
Volume
$6,270.59
Positions
QUAZAR
CY7
Cypya
Event PnL
+$1,691.50
Volume
$6,008.66
Positions
Misa EsportsMisa Esports
BB8
BBX1GbDS011
Event PnL
+$2,531.89
Volume
$5,390.45
Positions
Misa EsportsMisa Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Map 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5) at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $270.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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