Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A

$144.2K Vol
Sep 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
TheMongolz 52.5%
MIBR 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,950% chance of winning. Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) follows in second place at 4,950%, while Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $144.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 1 Winner (4,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,950%), Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,900%), and Match Winner (4,750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 2.5 Games are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 1 Winner4950.0%$3.7K4950¢-4850¢
2Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
3Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
5Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
6Match Winner4750.0%$113.9K4750¢-4650¢
7O/U 2.5 Games4750.0%$744750¢-4650¢
8Map 2 Winner4600.0%$1044600¢-4500¢
9Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)3550.0%3550¢-3450¢
10Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)3500.0%$3193500¢-3400¢
11Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)2650.0%$38.1K2650¢-2550¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between MIBR and TheMongolz in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 1:30 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against TheMongolz.

This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against MIBR.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 1:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 7, 2026

  • 08:25 AM
    CHChristopherWolf
    $15.00

    Bought 26.785713 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.56

  • 08:21 AM
    DBdbahsh
    $79.88

    Bought 142.642856 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.56

  • 08:07 AM
    AUAurasi
    $223.00

    Bought 398.214284 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.56

  • 07:37 AM
    SUsuntori
    $9.52

    Bought 17 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.56

  • 06:47 AM
    $3.20

    Bought 9.696968 TheMongolz for Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5) at 0.33

  • 06:44 AM
    RORogue098
    $26.11

    Bought 46.625 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.56

  • 06:27 AM
    0X0x0b212AC35Fe94b0CB624b79F3Cd759b13b4e7989-1774427646568
    $2.00

    Bought 5.874284 TheMongolz for Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5) at 0.34

  • 06:03 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 17.85714 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.56

  • 06:00 AM
    FOforgedinlol
    $2.80

    Bought 5 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.56

  • 06:00 AM
    0X0x02CFa625e814647D742C8162a80e444De982813C-1772890585128
    $516.55

    Bought 922.410713 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.56

  • 05:41 AM
    NAnaive-child
    $218.12

    Bought 389.5 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.56

  • 04:42 AM
    JUJuugii
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785713 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.56

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

291
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
+$371.96
Volume
$74,370.02
Positions
MIBRMIBRMIBR+2
NO2
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$40.56
Volume
$17,990.85
Positions
TheMongolzTheMongolzTheMongolz+1
VI3
Villson
Event PnL
+$73.59
Volume
$14,714.57
Positions
TheMongolzTheMongolz
AC4
acorp
Event PnL
-$58.26
Volume
$11,659.98
Positions
TheMongolzTheMongolz
RE5
RevengeRange
Event PnL
+$263.77
Volume
$11,619.55
Positions
MIBRMIBR
PR6
PROBABILITYTRADER
Event PnL
-$268.83
Volume
$10,753.39
Positions
TheMongolz
SE7
sentrio
Event PnL
+$54.06
Volume
$10,203.29
Positions
MIBRMIBR
FB8
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
-$56.24
Volume
$9,981.11
Positions
TheMongolzTheMongolzTheMongolz

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A"?

As of the latest update, Map 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 4,950% win probability, followed by Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) at 4,950% and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $144.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started