Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B

$135.2K Vol
Oct 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Gothic 57.5%
mellren 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map Handicap: Gothic (-1.5) vs mellren (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $135.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map Handicap: Gothic (-1.5) vs mellren (+1.5) (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map Handicap: Gothic (-1.5) vs mellren (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $8.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%), O/U 2.5 Games (4,950%), and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gothic (-3.5) vs mellren (+3.5) (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gothic (-3.5) vs mellren (+3.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map Handicap: Gothic (-1.5) vs mellren (+1.5)5000.0%$8.8K5000¢-4900¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5O/U 2.5 Games4950.0%$1.2K4950¢-4850¢
6Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gothic (-3.5) vs mellren (+3.5)4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
7Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gothic (-3.5) vs mellren (+3.5)4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
8Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gothic (-3.5) vs mellren (+3.5)4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9Map 2 Winner4400.0%$8604400¢-4300¢
10Match Winner4050.0%$123.6K4050¢-3950¢
11Map 1 Winner3150.0%$3.0K3150¢-3050¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners' match between mellren and Gothic in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "mellren" if mellren win the match against Gothic.

This market will resolve to "Gothic" if Gothic win the match against mellren.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 6, 2026

  • 01:25 PM
    ——
    $1.47

    Bought 2.370968 Gothic for Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B at 0.62

  • 01:25 PM
    0X0x0284e1C5b93A6fe07aa5e83e8543D6e33F8a97F6-1779001826210
    $30.00

    Bought 50 Gothic for Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B at 0.6

  • 01:22 PM
    TEtetvdv
    $826.20

    Sold 1449.48 Gothic for Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B at 0.57

  • 01:20 PM
    PRprimeAnchor
    $480.77

    Bought 1265.18 mellren for Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B at 0.38

  • 01:20 PM
    JEJefferson123
    $20.00

    Bought 52.631579 mellren for Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B at 0.38

  • 01:18 PM
    0X0x207702d39743B9E76595fB2982dccdb300FB8161-1772429680242
    $10.05

    Bought 26.44 mellren for Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B at 0.38

  • 01:18 PM
    CHchosenname
    $94.43

    Bought 248.5 mellren for Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B at 0.38

  • 01:18 PM
    IGigot50k
    $48.75

    Bought 128.289474 mellren for Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B at 0.38

  • 01:13 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 Gothic for Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B at 0.64

  • 01:12 PM
    NKnktshmlv05
    $119.20

    Bought 189.20703 Gothic for Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B at 0.63

  • 01:12 PM
    PRprimeAnchor
    $188.30

    Bought 482.82 mellren for Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B at 0.39

  • 01:12 PM
    N0n00bee
    $3.05

    Bought 5 Gothic for Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B at 0.61

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

291
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
+$107.04
Volume
$7,628.64
Positions
mellrenmellren
CO2
codebasic
Event PnL
+$58.59
Volume
$3,767.61
Positions
Gothic
WI3
WizardQvQ
Event PnL
-$17.24
Volume
$2,522.60
Positions
Gothic
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$24.55
Volume
$1,091.37
Positions
mellrenGothic
SE5
sentrio
Event PnL
+$15.27
Volume
$826.95
Positions
mellren
ZE6
zedkingcyn
Event PnL
-$38.71
Volume
$806.21
Positions
GothicGothic
NN7
NNNNNobita
Event PnL
+$2.59
Volume
$517.25
Positions
Gothic
VI8
villka
Event PnL
-$36.75
Volume
$504.05
Positions
Gothic

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B"?

As of the latest update, Map Handicap: Gothic (-1.5) vs mellren (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 5,000% and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $135.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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