Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

$106.6K Vol
Sep 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Misa Esports 83.0%
megoshort 17.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $106.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $132.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,950%), Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 (9,950%), and Map Handicap: MEGO (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 2 Winner9995.0%$132.4K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$3889995¢-9895¢
3Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
4Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
5Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
6Map Handicap: MEGO (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Match Winner2800.0%$58.5K2800¢-2700¢
9Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550.0%50¢50¢
10Map 1 Rounds Handicap: megoshort (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)50.0%$1550¢50¢
11Map 2 Rounds Handicap: megoshort (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)50.0%50¢50¢
12Map 1 Winner5.0%$87.5K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between megoshort and Misa Esports in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "megoshort" if megoshort win the match against Misa Esports.

This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win the match against megoshort.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 10, 2026

  • 12:09 PM
    GAGaditima
    $2.94

    Bought 6 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs at 0.49

  • 12:08 PM
    GAGaditima
    $2.94

    Bought 6 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs at 0.49

  • 12:05 PM
    XExeriu
    $41.52

    Bought 84.734694 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs at 0.49

  • 12:04 PM
    SPSpecStavok
    $12.50

    Bought 25 megoshort for Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs at 0.5

  • 10:37 AM
    1313413513513
    $10.12

    Bought 19.846154 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs at 0.51

  • 10:04 AM
    1313413513513
    $9.81

    Sold 19.61 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs at 0.5

  • 09:30 AM
    $2.82

    Bought 5.423077 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs at 0.52

  • 09:14 AM
    DUdupizdovs
    $11.76

    Sold 24 megoshort for Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs at 0.49

  • 09:06 AM
    $3.00

    Bought 5.769231 Misa Esports for Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs at 0.52

  • 09:06 AM
    AUAuramemnon
    $200.14

    Bought 408.451177 megoshort for Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:54 AM
    DUdupizdovs
    $64.16

    Bought 130.94 megoshort for Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:32 AM
    VAVasGod
    $250.88

    Bought 512 megoshort for Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GR1
GreenSmokee
Event PnL
+$25.38
Volume
$5,172.13
Positions
Misa Esports
AL2
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$11.93
Volume
$2,386.00
Positions
megoshort
PO3
poshposh
Event PnL
+$95.53
Volume
$2,072.65
Positions
Misa Esportsmegoshort
OC4
oco2
Event PnL
-$121.95
Volume
$1,642.35
Positions
megoshort
XR5
xreborn
Event PnL
+$33.66
Volume
$1,641.85
Positions
megoshort
SS6
sssP
Event PnL
-$89.48
Volume
$1,002.00
Positions
megoshort
997
0x99a0…415f
Event PnL
+$100.87
Volume
$989.21
Positions
Misa EsportsMisa Esports
FE8
Fedor77
Event PnL
-$24.21
Volume
$772.13
Positions
Misa Esportsmegoshort

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Map 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $106.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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