Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

$100.6K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Legacy 50.5%
PARIVISION 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,600% chance of winning. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 follows in second place at 5,300%, while Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $100.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 2 Winner (5,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 maintains a 5,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,300¢.
  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) (5,200%), Match Winner (5,050%), and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 2 Winner5600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
3Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
4Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
5Match Winner5050.0%$100.6K5050¢-4950¢
6Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Map 1 Winner4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10O/U 2.5 Games4250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
11Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)2950.0%—2950¢-2850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Legacy and PARIVISION in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against PARIVISION.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Legacy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 11:21 AM
    MAmanoamano
    $48.80

    Bought 95.686275 PARIVISION for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.51

  • 11:21 AM
    SASantaCruzSAF
    $3.85

    Bought 7.54 PARIVISION for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.51

  • 11:21 AM
    TOTopPato
    $100.96

    Bought 201.92 Legacy for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.5

  • 11:21 AM
    WAwanah
    $4.81

    Bought 9.61 Legacy for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.5

  • 11:21 AM
    L0l0xa
    $76.09

    Bought 152.18 Legacy for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.5

  • 11:21 AM
    CHchrysos
    $49.95

    Bought 99.9 Legacy for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.5

  • 11:20 AM
    MAmanoamano
    $48.87

    Bought 95.814902 PARIVISION for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.51

  • 11:20 AM
    PAPatolas
    $46.72

    Bought 93.44 PARIVISION for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.5

  • 11:20 AM
    WIWiretransferxyz
    $13,725.42

    Bought 28011.07 PARIVISION for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.49

  • 08:04 AM
    FCFCROUEN
    $10.19

    Bought 19.23 Legacy for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.53

  • 08:04 AM
    ANandersonadn10
    $20.00

    Bought 37.73 Legacy for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.53

  • 08:04 AM
    LALANCIENCUREDUVILLAGE
    $50.96

    Bought 96.15 Legacy for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WI1
Wiretransferxyz
Event PnL
+$500.95
Volume
$28,084.96
Positions
PARIVISION
CA2
Caishenbaoyouwo888
Event PnL
+$6.30
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Legacy
PA3
Partyarty91
Event PnL
-$153.00
Volume
$10,200.00
Positions
PARIVISION
TR4
TrippleEX
Event PnL
+$150.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Legacy
HU5
humbleboy
Event PnL
-$187.50
Volume
$7,500.00
Positions
Legacy
JO6
JohnnyWins
Event PnL
-$25.01
Volume
$6,807.68
Positions
PARIVISION
EQ7
equalsignificance
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Legacy
BB8
0xbBDB…4720
Event PnL
-$21.23
Volume
$4,810.19
Positions
PARIVISION

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Map 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,600% win probability, followed by Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 5,300% and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $100.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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