Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs

$262K Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Chinggis Warriors 100.0%
Kaleido Gaming 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 2.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 2 Winner follows in second place at 5%, while Match Winner sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $262K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $7 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 2 Winner (5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 2 Winner maintains a 5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5¢.
  • Match Winner (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$79995¢-9895¢
2Map 2 Winner5.0%$40.4K5¢95¢
3Match Winner5.0%$210.0K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Kaleido Gaming and Chinggis Warriors in the ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Kaleido Gaming" if Kaleido Gaming win the match against Chinggis Warriors.

This market will resolve to "Chinggis Warriors" if Chinggis Warriors win the match against Kaleido Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 11, 2026

  • 01:21 PM
    0X0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
    $10.00

    Bought 40 Kaleido Gaming for Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors - Map 1 Winner at 0.25

  • 01:21 PM
    ANantec
    $38.30

    Bought 50.389608 Chinggis Warriors for Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors - Map 1 Winner at 0.76

  • 01:18 PM
    WHwhiskeee
    $22.40

    Bought 160 Kaleido Gaming for Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs at 0.14

  • 01:18 PM
    0X0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
    $6.00

    Bought 42.857143 Kaleido Gaming for Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs at 0.14

  • 01:18 PM
    0X0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
    $5.60

    Bought 40 Kaleido Gaming for Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs at 0.14

  • 01:18 PM
    F3f303b
    $4.66

    Bought 5.61 Chinggis Warriors for Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs at 0.83

  • 01:18 PM
    TOTommyLeePeeca
    $16.80

    Bought 120 Kaleido Gaming for Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors - Map 1 Winner at 0.14

  • 01:18 PM
    TEtestBruno2
    $17.12

    Bought 122.285715 Kaleido Gaming for Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors - Map 1 Winner at 0.14

  • 01:17 PM
    TOTommyLeePeeca
    $86.54

    Sold 97.24 Chinggis Warriors for Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors - Map 1 Winner at 0.89

  • 01:17 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $197.03

    Bought 1407.365625 Kaleido Gaming for Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs at 0.14

  • 01:16 PM
    FUfundingnemo
    $12.82

    Sold 128.18 Kaleido Gaming for Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs at 0.1

  • 01:16 PM
    ——
    $13.50

    Bought 15 Chinggis Warriors for Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs at 0.9

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 2 Winner at 5% and Match Winner at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $262K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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