
Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $184.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Match Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $163.4K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Map Handicap: IS (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5) (5%), Map Handicap: BTF (-1.5) vs Iberian Soul (+1.5) (5%), and Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-6.5) vs Iberian Soul (+6.5) (5%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 9995.0% | $163.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 2.5 Games | 9995.0% | $93 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Map Handicap: IS (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5) | 5.0% | $15 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 5 | Map Handicap: BTF (-1.5) vs Iberian Soul (+1.5) | 5.0% | $1.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 6 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-6.5) vs Iberian Soul (+6.5) | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 7 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 8 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Iberian Soul and Butterfly in the CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Iberian Soul" if Iberian Soul win the match against Butterfly.
This market will resolve to "Butterfly" if Butterfly win the match against Iberian Soul.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 26, 2026
- 11:32 AMGRgregor2$1.00
Bought 1.515152 Iberian Soul for Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs at 0.66
- 11:27 AM0X0x73A42dE112F1105A31DDaea93f8B9D8ae9746692-1774627936100$2.00
Bought 3.225807 Iberian Soul for Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winner at 0.62
- 10:08 AMBRbravewarriorrrrrr$88.66
Bought 143 Iberian Soul for Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner at 0.62
- 10:01 AMBRbravewarriorrrrrr$104.16
Bought 168 Iberian Soul for Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner at 0.62
- 09:40 AMDEDevstral$9.90
Bought 15 Iberian Soul for Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs at 0.66
- 09:39 AMSTStasPanda$3,096.00
Bought 8600 Butterfly for Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs at 0.36
- 09:34 AMACAcapGG$1.00
Bought 1.515152 Iberian Soul for Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs at 0.66
- 09:23 AMCOcolombo12$18.00
Bought 51.428572 Butterfly for Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs at 0.35
- 08:42 AMKEkeviiinye$6.00
Bought 9.090908 Iberian Soul for Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs at 0.66
- 08:34 AMBRbravewarriorrrrrr$12.09
Bought 19.5 Iberian Soul for Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner at 0.62
- 08:15 AMBRbravewarriorrrrrr$33.55
Bought 55 Iberian Soul for Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner at 0.61
- 08:15 AMBRbravewarriorrrrrr$3.10
Bought 5 Iberian Soul for Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner at 0.62
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $184.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
