Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs

$127.5K Vol
Nov 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
1WIN 62.5%
HOTU 37.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,750% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 5,000%, while Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $127.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (7,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%), Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5) (5,000%), and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-6.5) vs HOTU (+6.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
2O/U 2.5 Games5000.0%$745000¢-4900¢
3Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-6.5) vs HOTU (+6.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Match Winner4750.0%$136.8K4750¢-4650¢
9Map 1 Winner4550.0%$7.8K4550¢-4450¢
10Map 2 Winner4550.0%$244550¢-4450¢
11Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)3000.0%$6523000¢-2900¢
12Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)2250.0%—2250¢-2150¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between HOTU and 1WIN in the Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against 1WIN.

This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win the match against HOTU.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 1, 2026

  • 12:18 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416667 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

  • 12:16 PM
    N9N9N4M3
    $15.00

    Bought 28.301887 1WIN for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.53

  • 12:15 PM
    SESecondChanceAtLife
    $20.00

    Bought 37.735848 1WIN for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.53

  • 12:12 PM
    R0R00t.eth
    $50.14

    Bought 139.27907 1WIN for Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5) at 0.36

  • 12:09 PM
    AUAurasi
    $7.80

    Bought 14.716982 1WIN for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.53

  • 12:06 PM
    ——
    $1.10

    Bought 2.291667 HOTU for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.48

  • 12:06 PM
    ——
    $10.22

    Bought 19.283019 1WIN for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.53

  • 12:06 PM
    0X0x0284e1C5b93A6fe07aa5e83e8543D6e33F8a97F6-1779001826210
    $208.33

    Bought 393.075472 1WIN for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.53

  • 11:58 AM
    0X0x9a53a9c3a9271dbdb102d101bb0a0e17efb32682-1792355146412
    $106.00

    Bought 200 1WIN for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.53

  • 11:58 AM
    ——
    $1.10

    Bought 2.291667 HOTU for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.48

  • 11:58 AM
    SPSpiceHunter
    $49.35

    Bought 73.65 HOTU for Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 11:58 AM
    REremingt0n
    $18.99

    Bought 28.35 HOTU for Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5) at 0.67

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

LL1
lllllllIlll
Event PnL
-$2,496.39
Volume
$100,009.00
Positions
HOTU
WI2
Wiretransferxyz
Event PnL
+$1,125.00
Volume
$45,000.00
Positions
1WIN
C93
0xC9BF…255F
Event PnL
+$553.77
Volume
$22,149.81
Positions
1WIN
BA4
Babooou
Event PnL
+$312.50
Volume
$12,500.00
Positions
1WIN
VI5
vibing123
Event PnL
+$10.69
Volume
$9,999.86
Positions
HOTU
9E6
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$757.87
Volume
$5,354.47
Positions
HOTU
F47
0xf483…9237
Event PnL
+$600.96
Volume
$4,807.66
Positions
1WIN
TT8
TTTT2026
Event PnL
+$98.04
Volume
$3,921.56
Positions
1WIN

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,750% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 5,000% and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $127.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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