Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

$253K Vol
Nov 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Falcons 67.5%
Heroic 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5) follows in second place at 5,000%, while Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 sits in third with 4,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $253K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5) (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5) maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,850%): Sitting in third place with a 4,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5) (4,650%), Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,600%), and O/U 2.5 Games (4,450%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
2Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54850.0%$2124850¢-4750¢
4Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
5Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54600.0%$1944600¢-4500¢
6O/U 2.5 Games4450.0%$1.7K4450¢-4350¢
7Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)4100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
8Map 1 Winner4050.0%$5.9K4050¢-3950¢
9Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)4050.0%$51.3K4050¢-3950¢
10Map 2 Winner3650.0%$3.6K3650¢-3550¢
11Match Winner3150.0%$190.1K3150¢-3050¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Heroic and Team Falcons in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against Team Falcons.

This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Heroic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 4, 2026

  • 01:38 AM
    NEnessunren
    $11.00

    Bought 18.032787 Heroic for Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5) at 0.61

  • 01:37 AM
    LElemon-orange
    $6.60

    Bought 20 Heroic for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A at 0.33

  • 01:33 AM
    BEbetzelz
    $15.00

    Bought 22.058821 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A at 0.68

  • 01:31 AM
    SUsuntori
    $28.57

    Bought 42.014706 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A at 0.68

  • 01:31 AM
    BIbingfengjunwei
    $0.98

    Sold 1.47 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A at 0.67

  • 01:29 AM
    BIbingfengjunwei
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A at 0.68

  • 01:24 AM
    MImiamiblue7
    $30.00

    Bought 49.180328 Heroic for Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5) at 0.61

  • 01:23 AM
    DOdonkplay
    $5.44

    Bought 16.484849 Heroic for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A at 0.33

  • 01:23 AM
    ZHzhaoliting
    $19.47

    Bought 59 Heroic for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A at 0.33

  • 01:23 AM
    HJhjdfjiu43463
    $2.64

    Bought 8 Heroic for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A at 0.33

  • 01:23 AM
    X2x2e3218b105f4ce606342a31b2cc35537afd91b5d
    $0.01

    Bought 0.03 Heroic for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A at 0.32

  • 01:23 AM
    DUdukamore
    $2.93

    Bought 8.878788 Heroic for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A at 0.33

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

JU1
justaluckydude
Event PnL
-$87.91
Volume
$17,586.21
Positions
Heroic
VI2
vibing123
Event PnL
+$125.80
Volume
$17,079.33
Positions
HeroicHeroic
NE3
NeverLoseBet
Event PnL
+$68.89
Volume
$13,779.01
Positions
Team Falcons
ET4
ethpepsi
Event PnL
-$42.74
Volume
$8,549.00
Positions
Heroic
ZT5
ztao
Event PnL
-$35.38
Volume
$7,075.00
Positions
Team Falcons
BA6
Babooou
Event PnL
+$32.45
Volume
$6,720.53
Positions
Heroic
TA7
tankfest2027
Event PnL
+$20.16
Volume
$4,031.78
Positions
Heroic
ST8
Stickman22
Event PnL
+$20.00
Volume
$3,999.97
Positions
Team Falcons

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A"?

As of the latest update, Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5) at 5,000% and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 4,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $253K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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