Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs

$121.5K Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Galorys 90.0%
Grêmio Esports 10.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,050% chance of winning. Map 2 Winner follows in second place at 7,950%, while Map 1 Winner sits in third with 7,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $121.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (9,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $44.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 2 Winner (7,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 2 Winner maintains a 7,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,950¢.
  • Map 1 Winner (7,450%): Sitting in third place with a 7,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5) (6,550%), and O/U 2.5 Games (3,500%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner9050.0%$44.7K9050¢-8950¢
2Map 2 Winner7950.0%$2.7K7950¢-7850¢
3Map 1 Winner7450.0%$3.2K7450¢-7350¢
4Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)6550.0%$69.8K6550¢-6450¢
5O/U 2.5 Games3500.0%$1.0K3500¢-3400¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Galorys and Grêmio Esports in the CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win the match against Grêmio Esports.

This market will resolve to "Grêmio Esports" if Grêmio Esports win the match against Galorys.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 2, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 2, 2026

  • 12:38 PM
    HEheadach3
    $3.60

    Bought 24 Grêmio Esports for Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs at 0.15

  • 10:13 AM
    FAfabres06
    $0.75

    Sold 5 Grêmio Esports for Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs at 0.15

  • 10:07 AM
    FAfabres06
    $0.75

    Sold 5 Grêmio Esports for Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs at 0.15

  • 06:08 AM
    CLclwclw
    $1.00

    Bought 1.149423 Galorys for Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs at 0.87

  • 03:50 AM
    TEtemjjen
    $13.68

    Bought 38 Grêmio Esports for Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5) at 0.36

  • 03:50 AM
    TEtemjjen
    $20.46

    Bought 58.46 Grêmio Esports for Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5) at 0.35

  • 03:44 AM
    ASashflsaidsao
    $3.25

    Bought 5 Galorys for Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 03:43 AM
    ASashflsaidsao
    $390.00

    Bought 500 Galorys for Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Grêmio Esports - Map 1 Winner at 0.78

  • 03:43 AM
    ASashflsaidsao
    $11.23

    Bought 17.55 Galorys for Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 03:41 AM
    GAGasplant
    $3.74

    Bought 17 Grêmio Esports for Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5) at 0.22

  • 03:41 AM
    GAGasplant
    $12.07

    Bought 17 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.71

  • 03:41 AM
    BAbarkov1
    $35.56

    Bought 154.608696 Grêmio Esports for Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5) at 0.23

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AS1
ashflsaidsao
Event PnL
-$190.99
Volume
$2,057.44
Positions
GalorysGalorys
GA2
Gasplant
Event PnL
+$64.14
Volume
$1,093.05
Positions
UnderGrêmio Esports
XR3
xreborn
Event PnL
+$24.40
Volume
$975.90
Positions
Galorys
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$17.71
Volume
$710.83
Positions
Grêmio EsportsGrêmio Esports
GO5
GOLDCRYPT12
Event PnL
+$12.50
Volume
$500.00
Positions
Grêmio Esports
FB6
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$5.73
Volume
$229.13
Positions
Over
BM7
bmaois
Event PnL
+$4.00
Volume
$200.00
Positions
Grêmio EsportsOver
IR8
irinanik
Event PnL
+$20.87
Volume
$154.61
Positions
Grêmio Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,050% win probability, followed by Map 2 Winner at 7,950% and Map 1 Winner at 7,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $121.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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