
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,050% chance of winning. Map 2 Winner follows in second place at 5,950%, while Map 1 Winner sits in third with 5,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $79.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Match Winner (6,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $79.3K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Map 2 Winner (5,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 2 Winner maintains a 5,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,950¢.
- Map 1 Winner (5,650%): Sitting in third place with a 5,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes O/U 2.5 Games (4,950%), Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,900%), and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,200%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 6050.0% | $79.3K | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 5950.0% | $56 | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 5650.0% | $186 | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4950.0% | $5 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 5 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 6 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 4200.0% | — | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 8 | Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5) | 3650.0% | $248 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between fnatic and Phantom in the Stake Pulse Beat II Group C, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win the match against Phantom.
This market will resolve to "Phantom" if Phantom win the match against fnatic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 22, 2026
- 08:31 PMCOcoolo$5.00
Bought 7.936508 fnatic for Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C at 0.63
- 08:01 PMKIkirilldudka$10.00
Bought 15.873016 fnatic for Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C at 0.63
- 07:58 PMRARadioFreeZerg$2.05
Bought 5 Phantom for Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner at 0.41
- 02:09 PMCLclwclw$1.00
Bought 1.587302 fnatic for Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C at 0.63
Sep 21, 2026
- 01:01 PMRARadioFreeZerg$2.01
Bought 5.28 Phantom for Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C at 0.38
- 08:59 AM0X0x08E3B589CA3F1E81F7D6fa1C6E01F62B71E5B53D-1782729005701$31.83
Bought 51.334127 fnatic for Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C at 0.62
Sep 20, 2026
- 09:10 PMBOBodBalazs$1.00
Bought 1.639343 fnatic for Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C at 0.61
- 11:37 AMKOkogurt$5.28
Bought 8.655738 fnatic for Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C at 0.61
Sep 19, 2026
- 01:01 AMREretrogeci.w$22.33
Sold 37.84 fnatic for Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C at 0.59
Sep 16, 2026
- 02:00 PM0X0x4eb25053128265521924D461C36020C158FD2126-1779844196672$0.01
Bought 0.02 Phantom for Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C at 0.34
- 01:51 PMTAtatkamatv78$6.40
Bought 18.82353 Phantom for Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C at 0.34
- 01:51 PM959527888$4.76
Bought 14 Phantom for Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C at 0.34
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C"?
As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,050% win probability, followed by Map 2 Winner at 5,950% and Map 1 Winner at 5,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $79.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
