Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

$125.2K Vol
Sep 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
G2 Ares 84.0%
BakS eSports 16.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $125.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $27.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BakS eSports (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) (9,995%), Match Winner (8,950%), and Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 2 Winner9995.0%$27.3K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$5.0K9995¢-9895¢
3Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
4Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BakS eSports (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
5Match Winner8950.0%$88.6K8950¢-8850¢
6Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BakS eSports (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Map Handicap: BAKS (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)5.0%$88495¢
10Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55.0%95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between BakS eSports and G2 Ares in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "BakS eSports" if BakS eSports win the match against G2 Ares.

This market will resolve to "G2 Ares" if G2 Ares win the match against BakS eSports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 17, 2026

  • 11:44 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $13.14

    Bought 34.578948 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.38

  • 11:44 AM
    0X0xf0C1936ddbEBF206ddAE13509B76DB47086A853B-1789331868543
    $1.14

    Bought 3 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.38

  • 11:42 AM
    NInigiri99
    $5.70

    Bought 15 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.38

  • 11:24 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1.56

    Bought 4.105264 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.38

  • 11:24 AM
    0X0xf0C1936ddbEBF206ddAE13509B76DB47086A853B-1789331868543
    $1.14

    Bought 3 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.38

  • 11:24 AM
    0X0x73A42dE112F1105A31DDaea93f8B9D8ae9746692-1774627936100
    $2.00

    Bought 3.389831 BakS eSports for Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner at 0.59

  • 11:22 AM
    NInigiri99
    $7.60

    Bought 20 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.38

  • 11:22 AM
    SWSwiss-c
    $5.00

    Bought 13.16 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.38

  • 11:22 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.05

    Bought 8.026316 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.38

  • 11:22 AM
    0X0xf0C1936ddbEBF206ddAE13509B76DB47086A853B-1789331868543
    $1.14

    Bought 3 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.38

  • 11:22 AM
    POPOMETBOKA
    $51.30

    Bought 82.74 BakS eSports for Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.62

  • 11:22 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $2.02

    Bought 5.31579 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.38

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PA1
Painfulvoid
Event PnL
-$79.58
Volume
$15,918.27
Positions
G2 Ares
EQ2
equalsignificance
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
BakS eSports
CO3
coolz122
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
BakS eSports
884
0x888888888
Event PnL
+$597.59
Volume
$4,379.05
Positions
BakS eSports
SU5
suntori
Event PnL
-$149.37
Volume
$2,722.55
Positions
G2 Ares
RA6
Rayaya
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$2,500.00
Positions
BakS eSports
DO7
dodeper
Event PnL
-$182.97
Volume
$2,447.31
Positions
G2 Ares
DI8
diceking
Event PnL
+$157.50
Volume
$2,249.96
Positions
BakS eSports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Map 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $125.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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