
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Map 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) follows in second place at 9,950%, while Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5) sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $762.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Map 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $324.6K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5) (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Match Winner (8,550%), Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) (6,850%), and Map 2 Winner (6,550%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 9995.0% | $324.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 3 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5) | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | Match Winner | 8550.0% | $543.2K | 8550¢ | -8450¢ |
| 5 | Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 6850.0% | $23.1K | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 6 | Map 2 Winner | 6550.0% | $33.6K | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 7 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 10 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 4650.0% | $6 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 11 | O/U 2.5 Games | 3000.0% | $1.2K | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 12 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 13 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 14 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs BetBoom Team (+9.5) | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 15 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5.0% | $219 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Aurora Gaming and BetBoom Team in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against BetBoom Team.
This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against Aurora Gaming.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 5, 2026
- 12:43 PMKKKKlen$3.52
Bought 5.5 Aurora Gaming for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.64
- 12:43 PMSNsn-ow$1.00
Bought 1.5625 Aurora Gaming for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.64
- 12:43 PMNEneutralwave23$4.97
Bought 7.765625 Aurora Gaming for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.64
- 12:40 PMFLFleet41$3,289.60
Bought 5140 Aurora Gaming for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.64
- 12:38 PMBAbarr1$30.00
Bought 81.081082 BetBoom Team for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.37
- 12:38 PM0X0x8cb9c$1.00
Bought 1.5625 Aurora Gaming for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.64
- 12:35 PMSCsc1pt0x$18.37
Bought 28.703125 Aurora Gaming for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.64
- 12:30 PMCCccwcc$37.00
Bought 100 BetBoom Team for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.37
- 12:18 PMTItinashi1199zz$3.56
Bought 9.621622 BetBoom Team for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.37
- 12:08 PMBEbet.maxxing$1.00
Bought 2.12766 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.47
- 12:02 PM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$3.80
Bought 5.9375 Aurora Gaming for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage at 0.64
- 11:59 AMMIMillhouse2026$5.08
Bought 8.06 BetBoom Team for Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) at 0.63
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage"?
As of the latest update, Map 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) at 9,950% and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5) at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $762.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
