West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies

$264.6K Vol
Oct 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
India 72.5%
West Indies 27.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies - Completed match? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 57.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $264.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies - Completed match? (57.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies - Completed match? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 57¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $115 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies - Completed match?57.5%$11557¢43¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the cricket match between India and West Indies scheduled for October 11 2026 at 9:30 AM ET in West Indies Tour of India T20s.

DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.

If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies - Completed match? currently trades at 57.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 1%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -56.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies - Completed match?57.5%1.0%-56.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 11, 2026

  • 10:48 AM
    NInigiri99
    $11.70

    Bought 45 West Indies for West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies at 0.26

  • 10:47 AM
    NInigiri99
    $18.20

    Bought 70 West Indies for West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies at 0.26

  • 10:41 AM
    SIsiddharthjain
    $3.00

    Bought 4 India for West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies at 0.75

  • 10:41 AM
    0X0x24Fc3bE6F71280Ce66A47caA7B488d15205ed075-1776774306678
    $98.56

    Bought 131.413332 India for West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies at 0.75

  • 10:37 AM
    NInigiri99
    $176.54

    Bought 679 West Indies for West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies at 0.26

  • 10:33 AM
    PRPrinc
    $2.08

    Bought 8 West Indies for West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies at 0.26

  • 09:41 AM
    KUkulshekhar
    $9.73

    Bought 37.423077 West Indies for West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies at 0.26

  • 09:17 AM
    NOnom.9an
    $1.00

    Bought 1.333332 India for West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies at 0.75

  • 09:11 AM
    MAMalomoriquamfeudari
    $20.00

    Bought 76.923077 West Indies for West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies at 0.26

  • 09:10 AM
    NInigiri99
    $73.06

    Bought 281 West Indies for West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies at 0.26

  • 09:08 AM
    NInigiri99
    $168.22

    Bought 647 West Indies for West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies at 0.26

  • 09:08 AM
    NInigiri99
    $91.52

    Bought 352 West Indies for West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies at 0.26

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MI1
midwicket72
Event PnL
+$3,217.01
Volume
$24,183.17
Positions
India
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$2,497.77
Volume
$24,077.00
Positions
West Indies
IR3
Irfanyousuf
Event PnL
-$3,849.87
Volume
$21,999.97
Positions
West Indies
NO4
NonTificant
Event PnL
+$2,108.50
Volume
$17,986.14
Positions
India
DW5
dwarka
Event PnL
-$2,208.26
Volume
$17,666.25
Positions
West Indies
ME6
MeiGuNiuBi
Event PnL
-$1,254.74
Volume
$17,198.71
Positions
West Indies
SW7
Swiss-Tony
Event PnL
+$17.88
Volume
$16,174.98
Positions
India
RI8
RitukaHusband
Event PnL
-$738.48
Volume
$12,300.00
Positions
West Indies

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies"?

As of the latest update, West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies - Completed match? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 57.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $264.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies - Completed match?. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 57.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 1%, a negative EV Gap of -56.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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