Deportivo Pereira vs. AD Cali
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Deportivo Pereira vs. AD Cali”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Draw (Deportivo Pereira vs. AD Cali) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 24.5% chance of winning. Deportivo Pereira follows in second place at 19.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $91K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Draw (Deportivo Pereira vs. AD Cali) (24.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Draw (Deportivo Pereira vs. AD Cali) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 25¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $7.3K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Deportivo Pereira (19.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Deportivo Pereira maintains a 19.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 20¢.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Draw (Deportivo Pereira vs. AD Cali) | 24.5% | $7.3K | 25¢ | 76¢ |
| 2 | Deportivo Pereira | 19.5% | $41.7K | 20¢ | 81¢ |
Result Rules
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026 between Deportivo Pereira and AD Cali.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Most Overvalued Outcome Draw (Deportivo Pereira vs. AD Cali) currently trades at 24.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 20.5%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -4%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (Deportivo Pereira vs. AD Cali) | 24.5% | 20.5% | -4.0% |
| Deportivo Pereira | 19.5% | 18.2% | -1.3% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 10, 2026
- 09:39 PMHAHAGIII$99.90
Bought 333 Yes for Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-10-11? at 0.3
- 09:38 PMEAeasyautomate$2.72
Bought 7.771429 Yes for Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-10-11? at 0.35
- 09:38 PMBAbaseinv3$1.75
Bought 5 Yes for Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-10-11? at 0.35
- 09:38 PMFLFlaznorp$1,311.28
Bought 4370.933334 Yes for Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-10-11? at 0.3
- 09:37 PM——$9.00
Bought 21.428572 Yes for Will Deportivo Pereira vs. AD Cali end in a draw? at 0.42
- 09:35 PM16168888888168$1.30
Bought 4.333334 Yes for Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-10-11? at 0.3
- 09:35 PM0X0x11bA7897B4455946727C54DF1b1a3B56Ba940Ca0-1777257765896$1.11
Bought 3.7 Yes for Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-10-11? at 0.3
- 09:35 PM——$1.05
Bought 3.5 Yes for Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-10-11? at 0.3
- 09:35 PMYOyoucanbuythisbot$28.38
Bought 94.6 Yes for Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-10-11? at 0.3
- 09:35 PMFLFlaznorp$436.19
Bought 1453.966667 Yes for Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-10-11? at 0.3
- 09:35 PM16168888888168$1.00
Bought 3.333334 Yes for Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-10-11? at 0.3
- 09:35 PMYOyoucanbuythisbot$1.62
Bought 5.4 Yes for Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-10-11? at 0.3
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Deportivo Pereira vs. AD Cali"?
As of the latest update, Draw (Deportivo Pereira vs. AD Cali) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 24.5% win probability, followed by Deportivo Pereira at 19.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $91K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?
Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Draw (Deportivo Pereira vs. AD Cali). The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 24.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 20.5%, a negative EV Gap of -4% that signals the contract is overpriced.