Deportivo Pereira vs. América de Cali

$500.5K Vol
Nov 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 73.5%
Yes 26.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Deportivo Pereira vs. América de Cali”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, América de Cali is dominating the market with an overwhelming 54.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $500.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • América de Cali (54.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, América de Cali is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 55¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $51.9K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1América de Cali54.5%$51.9K55¢45¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming Colombia Primera A game between Deportivo Pereira and América de Cali, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome América de Cali currently trades at 54.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 51%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -3.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
América de Cali54.5%51.0%-3.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 14, 2026

  • 12:08 PM
    AMameisgoat11
    $2.25

    Bought 5 No for Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-14? at 0.45

  • 11:44 AM
    PMPM4AGG
    $5.37

    Bought 9.77 Yes for Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-14? at 0.55

  • 11:44 AM
    PMPM4AGG
    $422.16

    Bought 767.56 Yes for Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-14? at 0.55

  • 04:31 AM
    AXax2026
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 Yes for Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-14? at 0.55

Nov 13, 2026

  • 06:09 PM
    JUJumaJumajej
    $50.33

    Bought 109.40587 No for Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-14? at 0.46

  • 05:13 PM
    AMameisgoat11
    $2.25

    Bought 5 No for Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-14? at 0.45

  • 04:01 PM
    AMameisgoat11
    $2.25

    Bought 5 No for Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-14? at 0.45

  • 02:50 PM
    AMameisgoat11
    $2.25

    Bought 5 No for Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-14? at 0.45

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

RN1
RN1
Event PnL
-$89.31
Volume
$125,967.64
Positions
NoYesYes
RW2
rw0ajdugzw
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$69,721.11
Positions
NoNoNo
993
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
-$2,683.51
Volume
$38,839.46
Positions
YesNo
044
0x04fb…7540
Event PnL
+$1,388.58
Volume
$36,835.27
Positions
Yes
GA5
Gaditima
Event PnL
-$219.16
Volume
$33,100.83
Positions
NoYes
LU6
LuccaF7
Event PnL
-$6,999.82
Volume
$25,000.00
Positions
YesNo
9F7
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
+$1,140.19
Volume
$21,459.96
Positions
No
US8
us391
Event PnL
-$363.15
Volume
$21,169.13
Positions
NoNo

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Deportivo Pereira vs. América de Cali"?

As of the latest update, América de Cali leads the field as the frontrunner with a 54.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $500.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around América de Cali. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 54.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 51%, a negative EV Gap of -3.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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